The Coefficient5511OVRHome
Strasbourg
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 5211
- FRM
- 357
- ELO
- 6513
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Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre: Ligue 1, Nov 1, 2026
Ligue 1HomeStrasbourg5511OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayAJ Auxerre6213OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, France
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6513Attack6513
- 5211Defence5211
- 357Form7615
- 6513Elo strength5712
- 5511Overall6213
6213OVRAway
AJ Auxerre
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 5211
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 5712
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Strasbourg (16th, 7 pts from 8) host Auxerre (12th, 10 pts from 8) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Strasbourg have scored 12 and conceded 18 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.5 and 2.2 per game). Auxerre have scored 12 and conceded 18 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.5 and 2.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Strasbourg DLLLL, Auxerre WWLWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Strasbourg won 4, Auxerre won 0 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 2.2–1.8. Strasbourg are slight favorites: Strasbourg 47%, draw 20%, Auxerre 33%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Strasbourg 1544, Auxerre 1470) give Strasbourg an expected score of 68%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Strasbourg 2.23 · Auxerre 1.84 · most likely score 2–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.66 / away 1.37 goals per game from 76 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Strasbourg expected score 68%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Strasbourg | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Table position | 12th |
| 7 (8) | Points (played) | 10 (8) |
| 2-1-5 | W-D-L | 3-1-4 |
| 1.50 | Goals for / game* | 1.50 |
| 2.25 | Goals against / game* | 2.25 |
| DLLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWLWD |
| 1544 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1470 |
| 0.99 / 1.35 | Attack / defence index | 0.99 / 1.35 |
Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Strasbourg 4 wins · 1 draw · Auxerre 0 wins
- AJ Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg
- Strasbourg 3–0 AJ Auxerre
- AJ Auxerre 0–1 Strasbourg
- Strasbourg 3–1 AJ Auxerre
- Strasbourg 2–0 AJ Auxerre