The Coefficient
EN – Language: English
← Match Center

Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: La Liga, Nov 1, 2026

La Liga
HomeRacing Santander5712OVR
Kick-off 9:15 AM CT
AwayReal Madrid8617OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 9:15 AM CT · El Sardineros, Santander, Spain

Team comparison

Ratings

5712OVRHome

Racing Santander

ATT
6513
DEF
469
FRM
6213
ELO
5712
  • 6513Attack8317
  • 469Defence7816
  • 6213Form9920
  • 5712Elo strength9018
  • 5712Overall8617
ATTDEFFRMELO
Racing Real Madrid
8617OVRAway

Real Madrid

ATT
8317
DEF
7816
FRM
9920
ELO
9018

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Racing (15th, 11 pts from 10) host Real Madrid (3rd, 24 pts from 10) in the La Liga table as it stands. Racing have scored 15 and conceded 26 in 10 La Liga games (1.5 and 2.6 per game). Real Madrid have scored 25 and conceded 10 in 10 La Liga games (2.5 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Racing LDLWW, Real Madrid WWWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Racing won 0, Real Madrid won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3–3.0. Real Madrid are clear favorites: Racing 13%, draw 14%, Real Madrid 73%. The single most likely score is 1–3, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Racing 1472, Real Madrid 1771) give Racing an expected score of 20%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Racing winDrawReal Madrid win

Expected goals (model): Racing 1.27 · Real Madrid 3.04 · most likely score 1–3 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.30 goals per game from 104 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Racing expected score 20%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

RacingReal Madrid
15thTable position3rd
11 (10)Points (played)24 (10)
3-2-5W-D-L8-0-2
1.50Goals for / game*2.50
2.60Goals against / game*1.00
LDLWWForm, last 5 (all comps)WWWWW
1472Elo rating (pre-match)1771
1.00 / 1.56Attack / defence index1.50 / 0.74

Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Racing 0 wins · 1 draw · Real Madrid 4 wins

  • Real Madrid 4–0 Racing Santander
  • Racing Santander 0–0 Real Madrid
  • Racing Santander 1–3 Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid 6–1 Racing Santander
  • Racing Santander 0–2 Real Madrid