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PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: Eredivisie, Nov 1, 2026

Eredivisie
HomePEC Zwolle5110OVR
Kick-off 5:15 AM CT
AwayADO Den Haag5511OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 5:15 AM CT · MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle, Netherlands

Team comparison

Ratings

5110OVRHome

PEC Zwolle

ATT
4810
DEF
5812
FRM
4810
ELO
5010
  • 4810Attack5311
  • 5812Defence5812
  • 4810Form5311
  • 5010Elo strength5411
  • 5110Overall5511
ATTDEFFRMELO
PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag
5511OVRAway

ADO Den Haag

ATT
5311
DEF
5812
FRM
5311
ELO
5411

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

PEC Zwolle (15th, 8 pts from 10) host ADO Den Haag (17th, 6 pts from 10) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. PEC Zwolle have scored 11 and conceded 23 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.1 and 2.3 per game). ADO Den Haag have scored 13 and conceded 23 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.3 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): PEC Zwolle LLWDL, ADO Den Haag DDWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, PEC Zwolle won 2, ADO Den Haag won 3 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–1.7. ADO Den Haag are slight favorites: PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag 45%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (PEC Zwolle 1414, ADO Den Haag 1450) give PEC Zwolle an expected score of 53%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

PEC Zwolle winDrawADO Den Haag win

Expected goals (model): PEC Zwolle 1.45 · ADO Den Haag 1.74 · most likely score 1–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 1.95 goals per game from 95 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: PEC Zwolle expected score 53%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
15thTable position17th
8 (10)Points (played)6 (10)
2-2-6W-D-L1-3-6
1.10Goals for / game*1.30
2.30Goals against / game*2.30
LLWDLForm, last 5 (all comps)DDWLL
1414Elo rating (pre-match)1450
0.68 / 1.17Attack / defence index0.76 / 1.17

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

PEC Zwolle 2 wins · 0 draws · ADO Den Haag 3 wins

  • ADO Den Haag 3–1 PEC Zwolle
  • PEC Zwolle 1–2 ADO Den Haag
  • PEC Zwolle 0–1 ADO Den Haag
  • ADO Den Haag 0–2 PEC Zwolle
  • PEC Zwolle 3–1 ADO Den Haag