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Paris FC vs AS Monaco: Ligue 1, Nov 1, 2026

Ligue 1
HomeParis FC6714OVR
Kick-off 10:15 AM CT
AwayAS Monaco7114OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 10:15 AM CT · Stade Jean Bouin, Paris, France

Team comparison

Ratings

6714OVRHome

Paris FC

ATT
6714
DEF
7415
FRM
5812
ELO
6613
  • 6714Attack6213
  • 7415Defence8116
  • 5812Form6714
  • 6613Elo strength7215
  • 6714Overall7114
ATTDEFFRMELO
Paris FC Monaco
7114OVRAway

AS Monaco

ATT
6213
DEF
8116
FRM
6714
ELO
7215

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Paris FC (6th, 14 pts from 8) host Monaco (4th, 15 pts from 8) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Paris FC have scored 13 and conceded 9 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.6 and 1.1 per game). Monaco have scored 11 and conceded 7 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.4 and 0.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Paris FC WLLWL, Monaco DWLWD. In the last 2 meetings on record, Paris FC won 2, Monaco won 0 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.0. Paris FC are slight favorites: Paris FC 40%, draw 29%, Monaco 31%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Paris FC 1553, Monaco 1610) give Paris FC an expected score of 50%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Paris FC winDrawMonaco win

Expected goals (model): Paris FC 1.21 · Monaco 1.04 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.66 / away 1.37 goals per game from 76 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Paris FC expected score 50%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Paris FCMonaco
6thTable position4th
14 (8)Points (played)15 (8)
4-2-2W-D-L4-3-1
1.62Goals for / game*1.38
1.12Goals against / game*0.88
WLLWLForm, last 5 (all comps)DWLWD
1553Elo rating (pre-match)1610
1.05 / 0.81Attack / defence index0.93 / 0.69

Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Paris FC 2 wins · 0 draws · Monaco 0 wins

  • Paris FC 4–1 AS Monaco
  • AS Monaco 0–1 Paris FC