The Coefficient7014OVRHome
Lyon
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 8116
- FRM
- 5812
- ELO
- 7215
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Lyon vs Angers: Ligue 1, Nov 1, 2026
Ligue 1HomeLyon7014OVR
Kick-off 10:15 AM CT
AwayAngers5511OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 10:15 AM CT · Groupama Stadium, Lyon, France
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6714Attack5611
- 8116Defence5812
- 5812Form5311
- 7215Elo strength5010
- 7014Overall5511
5511OVRAway
Angers
- ATT
- 5611
- DEF
- 5812
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5010
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Lyon (5th, 14 pts from 8) host Angers (14th, 8 pts from 8) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Lyon have scored 13 and conceded 7 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.6 and 0.9 per game). Angers have scored 9 and conceded 15 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.1 and 1.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Lyon LWWLL, Angers DWLLD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Lyon won 4, Angers won 0 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 2.1–0.8. Lyon are clear favorites: Lyon 67%, draw 20%, Angers 13%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Lyon 1606, Angers 1407) give Lyon an expected score of 82%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Lyon 2.05 · Angers 0.77 · most likely score 2–0 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.66 / away 1.37 goals per game from 76 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Lyon expected score 82%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Lyon | Angers | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Table position | 14th |
| 14 (8) | Points (played) | 8 (8) |
| 4-2-2 | W-D-L | 2-2-4 |
| 1.62 | Goals for / game* | 1.12 |
| 0.88 | Goals against / game* | 1.88 |
| LWWLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWLLD |
| 1606 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1407 |
| 1.05 / 0.69 | Attack / defence index | 0.81 / 1.17 |
Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Lyon 4 wins · 1 draw · Angers 0 wins
- Angers 0–0 Lyon
- Lyon 1–0 Angers
- Lyon 2–0 Angers
- Angers 0–3 Lyon
- Angers 1–3 Lyon