The Coefficient | Kasimpasa vs Besiktas: Süper Lig, Nov 1

← Match Center Turkish Süper Lig

HomeKasimpasa7014OVR

Kick-off 10:00 AM CT

AwayBesiktas7515OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul, Türkiye

Team comparison

Ratings

7014OVRHome

Kasimpasa

ATT: 6513
DEF: 7615
FRM: 7615
ELO: 6012

6513Attack7615
7615Defence7315
7615Form7615
6012Elo strength7615
7014Overall7515

Kasimpasa Besiktas

7515OVRAway

Besiktas

ATT: 7615
DEF: 7315
FRM: 7615
ELO: 7615

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Kasimpasa (7th, 16 pts from 9) host Besiktas (4th, 18 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Kasimpasa have scored 13 and conceded 9 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.4 and 1.0 per game). Besiktas have scored 18 and conceded 10 in 9 Süper Lig games (2.0 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Kasimpasa DWLWW, Besiktas WWLDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Kasimpasa won 2, Besiktas won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3–1.3. This looks evenly matched: Kasimpasa 38%, draw 26%, Besiktas 35%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Kasimpasa 1502, Besiktas 1640) give Kasimpasa an expected score of 39%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

38%26%35%

Kasimpasa winDrawBesiktas win

Expected goals (model): Kasimpasa 1.33 · Besiktas 1.27 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Kasimpasa expected score 39%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Featured creators

Sinan YılmazSüper Lig analyst · Saha İçi / Maçtayız

Pre-match

Turkish audio · English subtitles

▶ Play video

ROTASYON ZAMANI! | Konya - GS, FB - Göztepe, Paşa - BJK Maç Önü

Our summary, not a quote: Pre-match look at Kasimpasa vs Besiktas (part of a show covering several games).

Watch on YouTube ↗ · Follow on X ↗ via Saha İçi

Embedded from the creators' official channels. Opinions are the creators' own, not The Coefficient's.

Key numbers

Kasimpasa		Besiktas
7th	Table position	4th
16 (9)	Points (played)	18 (9)
4-4-1	W-D-L	6-0-3
1.44	Goals for / game*	2.00
1.00	Goals against / game*	1.11
DWLWW	Form, last 5 (all comps)	WWLDW
1502	Elo rating (pre-match)	1640
1.00 / 0.77	Attack / defence index	1.29 / 0.83

Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Kasimpasa 2 wins · 2 draws · Besiktas 1 win

Mar 19, 2026 Besiktas 2–1 Kasimpasa
Oct 26, 2025 Kasimpasa 1–1 Besiktas
Apr 7, 2025 Kasimpasa 1–1 Besiktas
Nov 2, 2024 Besiktas 1–3 Kasimpasa
May 26, 2024 Kasimpasa 2–1 Besiktas

Kasimpasa vs Besiktas: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 1, 2026