The Coefficient6714OVRHome
Juventus
- ATT
- 5712
- DEF
- 7615
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 7315
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Juventus vs Napoli: Serie A, Nov 1, 2026
Serie AHomeJuventus6714OVR
Kick-off 1:45 PM CT
AwayNapoli7014OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 1:45 PM CT · Allianz Stadium, Torino, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5712Attack7014
- 7615Defence7315
- 6213Form6213
- 7315Elo strength7215
- 6714Overall7014
7014OVRAway
Napoli
- ATT
- 7014
- DEF
- 7315
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 7215
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Juventus (8th, 14 pts from 9) host Napoli (7th, 14 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Juventus have scored 11 and conceded 10 in 9 Serie A games (1.2 and 1.1 per game). Napoli have scored 17 and conceded 11 in 9 Serie A games (1.9 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Juventus WLDWL, Napoli LLWDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Juventus won 1, Napoli won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–1.4. Napoli are slight favorites: Juventus 30%, draw 27%, Napoli 43%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Juventus 1618, Napoli 1610) give Juventus an expected score of 60%, which disagrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Juventus 1.10 · Napoli 1.37 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Juventus expected score 60%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Juventus | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 8th | Table position | 7th |
| 14 (9) | Points (played) | 14 (9) |
| 4-2-3 | W-D-L | 4-2-3 |
| 1.22 | Goals for / game* | 1.89 |
| 1.11 | Goals against / game* | 1.22 |
| WLDWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLWDW |
| 1618 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1610 |
| 0.82 / 0.77 | Attack / defence index | 1.13 / 0.82 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Juventus 1 win · 1 draw · Napoli 3 wins
- Juventus 3–0 Napoli
- Napoli 2–1 Juventus
- Napoli 2–1 Juventus
- Juventus 0–0 Napoli
- Napoli 2–1 Juventus