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Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 1, 2026

Turkish Süper Lig
HomeIstanbul Basaksehir6413OVR
Kick-off 7:00 AM CT
AwaySamsunspor479OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul, Türkiye

Team comparison

Ratings

6413OVRHome

Istanbul Basaksehir

ATT
6213
DEF
6313
FRM
6213
ELO
6814
  • 6213Attack5010
  • 6313Defence4910
  • 6213Form306
  • 6814Elo strength5712
  • 6413Overall479
ATTDEFFRMELO
Istanbul BB Samsunspor
479OVRAway

Samsunspor

ATT
5010
DEF
4910
FRM
306
ELO
5712

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Istanbul BB (12th, 11 pts from 9) host Samsunspor (17th, 4 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Istanbul BB have scored 12 and conceded 14 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.3 and 1.6 per game). Samsunspor have scored 8 and conceded 21 in 9 Süper Lig games (0.9 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Istanbul BB LWDWL, Samsunspor LLLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Istanbul BB won 4, Samsunspor won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.2–1.0. Istanbul BB are clear favorites: Istanbul BB 66%, draw 19%, Samsunspor 15%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Istanbul BB 1569, Samsunspor 1470) give Istanbul BB an expected score of 71%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Istanbul BB winDrawSamsunspor win

Expected goals (model): Istanbul BB 2.21 · Samsunspor 0.96 · most likely score 2–0 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Istanbul BB expected score 71%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Istanbul BBSamsunspor
12thTable position17th
11 (9)Points (played)4 (9)
3-2-4W-D-L1-1-7
1.33Goals for / game*0.89
1.56Goals against / game*2.33
LWDWLForm, last 5 (all comps)LLLLL
1569Elo rating (pre-match)1470
0.94 / 1.06Attack / defence index0.71 / 1.46

Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Istanbul BB 4 wins · 0 draws · Samsunspor 1 win

  • Istanbul Basaksehir 3–0 Samsunspor
  • Samsunspor 0–2 Istanbul Basaksehir
  • Istanbul Basaksehir 4–0 Samsunspor
  • Samsunspor 2–0 Istanbul Basaksehir
  • Istanbul Basaksehir 1–0 Samsunspor