The Coefficient5110OVRHome
Getafe
- ATT
- 347
- DEF
- 6513
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5411
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Getafe vs Sevilla: La Liga, Nov 1, 2026
La LigaHomeGetafe5110OVR
Kick-off 7:00 AM CT
AwaySevilla6313OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Estadio Coliseum, Getafe, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 347Attack6714
- 6513Defence6313
- 5311Form6213
- 5411Elo strength5812
- 5110Overall6313
6313OVRAway
Sevilla
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5812
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Getafe (18th, 9 pts from 10) host Sevilla (6th, 17 pts from 10) in the La Liga table as it stands. Getafe have scored 5 and conceded 15 in 10 La Liga games (0.5 and 1.5 per game). Sevilla have scored 16 and conceded 16 in 10 La Liga games (1.6 and 1.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Getafe DDLLW, Sevilla LDLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Getafe won 1, Sevilla won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.4. Sevilla are clear favorites: Getafe 24%, draw 28%, Sevilla 48%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Getafe 1450, Sevilla 1485) give Getafe an expected score of 54%, which disagrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Getafe 0.87 · Sevilla 1.35 · most likely score 0–1 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.30 goals per game from 104 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Getafe expected score 54%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Getafe | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Table position | 6th |
| 9 (10) | Points (played) | 17 (10) |
| 2-3-5 | W-D-L | 5-2-3 |
| 0.50 | Goals for / game* | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | Goals against / game* | 1.60 |
| DDLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDLWW |
| 1450 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1485 |
| 0.49 / 1.00 | Attack / defence index | 1.05 / 1.05 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Getafe 1 win · 1 draw · Sevilla 3 wins
- Getafe 0–1 Sevilla
- Sevilla 1–2 Getafe
- Getafe 0–0 Sevilla
- Sevilla 1–0 Getafe
- Getafe 0–1 Sevilla