The Coefficient7215OVRHome
Frosinone
- ATT
- 7916
- DEF
- 6613
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 6613
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Frosinone vs Torino: Serie A, Nov 1, 2026
Serie AHomeFrosinone7215OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayTorino6613OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7916Attack6413
- 6613Defence6613
- 7615Form7615
- 6613Elo strength5812
- 7215Overall6613
6613OVRAway
Torino
- ATT
- 6413
- DEF
- 6613
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 5812
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Frosinone (6th, 17 pts from 9) host Torino (10th, 13 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Frosinone have scored 22 and conceded 14 in 9 Serie A games (2.4 and 1.6 per game). Torino have scored 14 and conceded 14 in 9 Serie A games (1.6 and 1.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Frosinone WLWDW, Torino DWWWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Frosinone won 1, Torino won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.2–1.5. Frosinone are clear favorites: Frosinone 54%, draw 20%, Torino 26%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Frosinone 1551, Torino 1482) give Frosinone an expected score of 68%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Frosinone 2.23 · Torino 1.50 · most likely score 2–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Frosinone expected score 68%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Frosinone | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Table position | 10th |
| 17 (9) | Points (played) | 13 (9) |
| 5-2-2 | W-D-L | 4-1-4 |
| 2.44 | Goals for / game* | 1.56 |
| 1.56 | Goals against / game* | 1.56 |
| WLWDW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWWWL |
| 1551 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1482 |
| 1.39 / 0.98 | Attack / defence index | 0.98 / 0.98 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Frosinone 1 win · 2 draws · Torino 2 wins
- Torino 0–0 Frosinone
- Frosinone 0–0 Torino
- Torino 1–2 Frosinone
- Frosinone 1–2 Torino
- Torino 3–2 Frosinone