The Coefficient6012OVRHome
Eintracht Frankfurt
- ATT
- 5912
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 5712
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV: Bundesliga, Nov 1, 2026
BundesligaHomeEintracht Frankfurt6012OVR
Kick-off 10:30 AM CT
AwayHamburg SV5611OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 10:30 AM CT · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, Germany
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5912Attack469
- 5511Defence5712
- 7114Form7114
- 5712Elo strength5611
- 6012Overall5611
5611OVRAway
Hamburg SV
- ATT
- 469
- DEF
- 5712
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 5611
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Frankfurt (15th, 8 pts from 7) host Hamburg (13th, 9 pts from 7) in the Bundesliga table as it stands. Frankfurt have scored 10 and conceded 17 in 7 Bundesliga games (1.4 and 2.4 per game). Hamburg have scored 6 and conceded 16 in 7 Bundesliga games (0.9 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Frankfurt WLWLW, Hamburg WWWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Frankfurt won 3, Hamburg won 1 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 2.2–1.1. Frankfurt are clear favorites: Frankfurt 62%, draw 19%, Hamburg 18%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Frankfurt 1469, Hamburg 1462) give Frankfurt an expected score of 59%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Frankfurt 2.24 · Hamburg 1.13 · most likely score 2–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.13 / away 1.39 goals per game from 70 Bundesliga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Frankfurt expected score 59%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Frankfurt | Hamburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Table position | 13th |
| 8 (7) | Points (played) | 9 (7) |
| 2-2-3 | W-D-L | 3-0-4 |
| 1.43 | Goals for / game* | 0.86 |
| 2.43 | Goals against / game* | 2.29 |
| WLWLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWLL |
| 1469 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1462 |
| 0.87 / 1.27 | Attack / defence index | 0.64 / 1.21 |
Table: current Bundesliga standings. *Bundesliga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Frankfurt 3 wins · 1 draw · Hamburg 1 win
- Hamburg SV 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburg SV
- Hamburg SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 Hamburg SV
- Hamburg SV 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt