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FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam: Eredivisie, Nov 1, 2026

Eredivisie
HomeFC Groningen6513OVR
Kick-off 9:45 AM CT
AwaySparta Rotterdam5611OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 9:45 AM CT · Euroborg, Groningen, Netherlands

Team comparison

Ratings

6513OVRHome

FC Groningen

ATT
7315
DEF
6112
FRM
6213
ELO
6213
  • 7315Attack6213
  • 6112Defence5712
  • 6213Form4810
  • 6213Elo strength5211
  • 6513Overall5611
ATTDEFFRMELO
FC Groningen Sparta
5611OVRAway

Sparta Rotterdam

ATT
6213
DEF
5712
FRM
4810
ELO
5211

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

FC Groningen (8th, 15 pts from 10) host Sparta (14th, 9 pts from 10) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. FC Groningen have scored 24 and conceded 21 in 10 Eredivisie games (2.4 and 2.1 per game). Sparta have scored 17 and conceded 24 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.7 and 2.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): FC Groningen WWLDL, Sparta LDWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, FC Groningen won 1, Sparta won 4 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.7–2.0. FC Groningen are clear favorites: FC Groningen 53%, draw 18%, Sparta 28%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 7% chance. Elo ratings (FC Groningen 1522, Sparta 1428) give FC Groningen an expected score of 71%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

FC Groningen winDrawSparta win

Expected goals (model): FC Groningen 2.67 · Sparta 1.97 · most likely score 2–1 (7%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 1.95 goals per game from 95 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: FC Groningen expected score 71%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

FC GroningenSparta
8thTable position14th
15 (10)Points (played)9 (10)
4-3-3W-D-L2-3-5
2.40Goals for / game*1.70
2.10Goals against / game*2.40
WWLDLForm, last 5 (all comps)LDWLL
1522Elo rating (pre-match)1428
1.21 / 1.09Attack / defence index0.93 / 1.21

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

FC Groningen 1 win · 0 draws · Sparta 4 wins

  • Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 FC Groningen
  • Sparta Rotterdam 5–2 FC Groningen
  • FC Groningen 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam
  • Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 FC Groningen
  • FC Groningen 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam