The Coefficient7916OVRHome
Como
- ATT
- 7014
- DEF
- 8317
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 8116
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Como vs Venezia: Serie A, Nov 1, 2026
Serie AHomeComo7916OVR
Kick-off 5:30 AM CT
AwayVenezia479OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 5:30 AM CT · Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7014Attack408
- 8317Defence5611
- 8517Form449
- 8116Elo strength479
- 7916Overall479
479OVRAway
Venezia
- ATT
- 408
- DEF
- 5611
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 479
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Como (5th, 20 pts from 9) host Venezia (20th, 3 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Como have scored 17 and conceded 8 in 9 Serie A games (1.9 and 0.9 per game). Venezia have scored 6 and conceded 19 in 9 Serie A games (0.7 and 2.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Como LWWWW, Venezia LLWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Como won 1, Venezia won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.3–0.6. Como are clear favorites: Como 76%, draw 16%, Venezia 8%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Como 1690, Venezia 1380) give Como an expected score of 89%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Como 2.30 · Venezia 0.59 · most likely score 2–0 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Como expected score 89%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Como | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Table position | 20th |
| 20 (9) | Points (played) | 3 (9) |
| 6-2-1 | W-D-L | 1-0-8 |
| 1.89 | Goals for / game* | 0.67 |
| 0.89 | Goals against / game* | 2.11 |
| LWWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLWLL |
| 1690 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1380 |
| 1.13 / 0.67 | Attack / defence index | 0.56 / 1.24 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Como 1 win · 2 draws · Venezia 2 wins
- Como 1–1 Venezia
- Venezia 2–2 Como
- Como 2–1 Venezia
- Venezia 3–0 Como
- Venezia 3–2 Como