Amed SFK
- ATT
- 8016
- DEF
- 7315
- FRM
- 9018
- ELO
- 6714
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 4:30 AM CT · Diyarbakir Stadyumu, Diyarbakir, Türkiye
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Amed SFK (2nd, 20 pts from 9) host Eyupspor (18th, 3 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Amed SFK have scored 20 and conceded 10 in 9 Süper Lig games (2.2 and 1.1 per game). Eyupspor have scored 2 and conceded 23 in 9 Süper Lig games (0.2 and 2.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Amed SFK WWDWW, Eyupspor LLLLL. The goals model expects about 3.6–0.4. Amed SFK are clear favorites: Amed SFK 93%, draw 6%, Eyupspor 2%. The single most likely score is 3–0, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Amed SFK 1559, Eyupspor 1375) give Amed SFK an expected score of 80%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Amed SFK 3.56 · Eyupspor 0.39 · most likely score 3–0 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Amed SFK expected score 80%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Amed SFK | Eyupspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Table position | 18th |
| 20 (9) | Points (played) | 3 (9) |
| 6-2-1 | W-D-L | 1-0-8 |
| 2.22 | Goals for / game* | 0.22 |
| 1.11 | Goals against / game* | 2.56 |
| WWDWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLLLL |
| 1559 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1375 |
| 1.40 / 0.83 | Attack / defence index | 0.37 / 1.57 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
No previous meetings in the data feed.