The Coefficient7114OVRHome
Académico de Viseu
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 6914
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 6513
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Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave: Primeira Liga, Nov 1, 2026
Primeira LigaHomeAcadémico de Viseu7114OVR
Kick-off 12:00 PM CT
AwayRio Ave5211OVR
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Estádio do Fontelo, Viseu, Portugal
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6714Attack5211
- 6914Defence479
- 8517Form6213
- 6513Elo strength4810
- 7114Overall5211
5211OVRAway
Rio Ave
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 479
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 4810
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Académico (6th, 17 pts from 9) host Rio Ave (15th, 7 pts from 9) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Académico have scored 13 and conceded 11 in 9 Primeira Liga games (1.4 and 1.2 per game). Rio Ave have scored 8 and conceded 21 in 9 Primeira Liga games (0.9 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Académico WWWLW, Rio Ave DLWWL. The goals model expects about 2.1–1.0. Académico are clear favorites: Académico 62%, draw 21%, Rio Ave 17%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Académico 1542, Rio Ave 1396) give Académico an expected score of 77%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Académico 2.05 · Rio Ave 0.98 · most likely score 2–0 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.30 / away 1.45 goals per game from 84 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Académico expected score 77%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Académico | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Table position | 15th |
| 17 (9) | Points (played) | 7 (9) |
| 5-2-2 | W-D-L | 2-1-6 |
| 1.44 | Goals for / game* | 0.89 |
| 1.22 | Goals against / game* | 2.33 |
| WWWLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLWWL |
| 1542 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1396 |
| 1.04 / 0.92 | Attack / defence index | 0.73 / 1.52 |
Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.