Udinese
- ATT
- 5110
- DEF
- 5712
- FRM
- 398
- ELO
- 5411
Saturday, October 31, 2026 ¡ 12:00 PM CT ¡ Stadio Friuli, Udine, Italy
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from CBS Sports Golazo on YouTube: âUdinese vs. Roma: Extended Highlights | Serie A | CBS Sports Golazoâ. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 Ă log2(attack index), DEF = 65 â 30 Ă log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 Ă points from the last 5 games á 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo â 1500) á 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating á 99 Ă 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Udinese 2â5 AS Roma. That matched the model's most likely outcome, an AS Roma win (78%). Goals: 7 scored against 3.5 expected (Udinese 2 vs 0.8, AS Roma 5 vs 2.7). Shots: Udinese 15 (7 on target) vs AS Roma 14 (9); possession 45.9% â 54.1%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Udinese (19th, 5 pts from 10) host AS Roma (3rd, 24 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Udinese have scored 9 and conceded 18 in 9 Serie A games (1.0 and 2.0 per game). AS Roma have scored 23 and conceded 8 in 9 Serie A games (2.6 and 0.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Udinese DLLLD, AS Roma LWWDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Udinese won 1, AS Roma won 4 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.8â2.7. AS Roma are clear favorites: Udinese 8%, draw 14%, AS Roma 78%. The single most likely score is 0â2, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Udinese 1443, AS Roma 1700) give Udinese an expected score of 24%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Udinese 0.79 ¡ AS Roma 2.71 ¡ most likely score 0â2 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.54 goals per game from 91 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline Ă attack Ă opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Udinese expected score 24%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Udinese | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 19th | Table position | 3rd |
| 5 (10) | Points (played) | 24 (10) |
| 1-2-7 | W-D-L | 7-3-0 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 2.56 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 0.89 |
| DLLLD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LWWDW |
| 1443 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1700 |
| 0.73 / 1.20 | Attack / defence index | 1.47 / 0.67 |
| 45.9 | Possession % (this match) | 54.1 |
| 15 | Shots (this match) | 14 |
| 7 | Shots on target (this match) | 9 |
| 7 | Corners (this match) | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls (this match) | 9 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Udinese 1 win ¡ 0 draws ¡ AS Roma 4 wins