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Troyes vs Le Mans: Ligue 1, Oct 31, 2026

Ligue 1
HomeTroyes4810OVR
2–0FT
AwayLe Mans5712OVR
  • ⚽ 33' Mouhamed Diop
  • ⚽ 71' Ismael Boura

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 2:45 PM CT · Stade de l'Aube, Paris, France

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from beIN SPORTS USA on YouTube: “Troyes vs Le Mans | HIGHLIGHTS Ligue 1 | 10/31/2026 | beIN SPORTS USA”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Yellow card for Michel Diaz (Troyes).
  2. GOAL! Mouhamed Diop scores for Troyes. Troyes 1–0 Le Mans. Assist: Timothé Nkada.
  3. Half-time: Troyes 1–0 Le Mans.
  4. Substitution for Troyes: Kandet Diawara comes on for Timothé Nkada.
  5. Substitution for Le Mans: Brahimi Bilal comes on for Habib Diallo.
  6. Substitution for Le Mans: Dame Guèye comes on for Antoine Rabillard.
  7. Yellow card for Raúl Torrente (Le Mans).
  8. Yellow card for Paolo Gozzi Iweru (Troyes).
  9. Substitution for Le Mans: Jean Vercruysse comes on for Alexandre Lauray.
  10. Substitution for Troyes: Ismael Boura comes on for Paolo Gozzi Iweru.
  11. Yellow card for Nicolas Kocik (Le Mans).
  12. Yellow card for Ismael Boura (Troyes).
  13. Ismael Boura (Troyes) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  14. GOAL! Ismael Boura scores for Troyes. Troyes 2–0 Le Mans.
  15. Yellow card for Noa Boissé (Le Mans).
  16. Substitution for Le Mans: Yasser Larouci comes on for Lucas Calodat.
  17. Substitution for Le Mans: William Harhouz comes on for Louis Mafouta.
  18. Substitution for Troyes: Jeremy Le Douaron comes on for Renaud Ripart.
  19. Substitution for Troyes: Iron Gomis comes on for Mouhamed Diop.
  20. Substitution for Troyes: Hugo Picard comes on for Merwan Ifnaoui.
  21. Yellow card for Samuel Yohou (Le Mans).
  22. Full-time: Troyes 2–0 Le Mans.
Team comparison

Ratings

4810OVRHome

Troyes

ATT
418
DEF
5611
FRM
398
ELO
5411
  • 418Attack6213
  • 5611Defence5611
  • 398Form4810
  • 5411Elo strength5812
  • 4810Overall5712
ATTDEFFRMELO
Troyes Le Mans
5712OVRAway

Le Mans

ATT
6213
DEF
5611
FRM
4810
ELO
5812

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Troyes 2–0 Le Mans. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Troyes win at only 28%, and its favorite was a Le Mans win (47%). Goals: 2 scored against 2.7 expected (Troyes 2 vs 1.2, Le Mans 0 vs 1.6). Shots: Troyes 14 (8 on target) vs Le Mans 3 (1); possession 39.1% – 60.9%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Troyes (15th, 8 pts from 9) host Le Mans (17th, 7 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Troyes have scored 5 and conceded 16 in 8 Ligue 1 games (0.6 and 2.0 per game). Le Mans have scored 11 and conceded 16 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.4 and 2.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Troyes LDLLD, Le Mans WLLLD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Troyes won 2, Le Mans won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.6. Le Mans are slight favorites: Troyes 28%, draw 25%, Le Mans 47%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Troyes 1445, Le Mans 1478) give Troyes an expected score of 54%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Troyes winDrawLe Mans win

Expected goals (model): Troyes 1.16 · Le Mans 1.59 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.65 / away 1.39 goals per game from 75 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Troyes expected score 54%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

TroyesLe Mans
15thTable position17th
8 (9)Points (played)7 (9)
2-2-5W-D-L1-4-4
0.62Goals for / game*1.38
2.00Goals against / game*2.00
LDLLDForm, last 5 (all comps)WLLLD
1445Elo rating (pre-match)1478
0.57 / 1.23Attack / defence index0.93 / 1.23
39.1Possession % (this match)60.9
14Shots (this match)3
8Shots on target (this match)1
4Corners (this match)2
15Fouls (this match)16

Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Troyes 2 wins · 2 draws · Le Mans 1 win

  • Troyes 0–2 Le Mans
  • Le Mans 2–2 Troyes
  • Troyes 2–1 Le Mans
  • Troyes 2–1 Le Mans
  • Le Mans 1–1 Troyes