Tottenham Hotspur
- ATT
- 5511
- DEF
- 6814
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 6213
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:30 PM CT · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from NBC Sports on YouTube: “Tottenham Hotspur v. Crystal Palace | PREMIER LEAGUE HIGHLIGHTS | 10/31/2026”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Spurs 2–0 C Palace. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Spurs win (58%). Goals: 2 scored against 2.9 expected (Spurs 2 vs 1.9, C Palace 0 vs 1.0). Shots: Spurs 34 (9 on target) vs C Palace 2 (1); possession 79.4% – 20.6%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Spurs (8th, 12 pts from 9) host C Palace (18th, 7 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Spurs have scored 8 and conceded 10 in 8 Premier League games (1.0 and 1.2 per game). C Palace have scored 9 and conceded 19 in 8 Premier League games (1.1 and 2.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Spurs LLDWW, C Palace LLDLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Spurs won 2, C Palace won 3 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.9–1.0. Spurs are clear favorites: Spurs 58%, draw 22%, C Palace 20%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Spurs 1518, C Palace 1528) give Spurs an expected score of 57%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Spurs 1.88 · C Palace 0.99 · most likely score 1–0 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.53 / away 1.22 goals per game from 86 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Spurs expected score 57%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Spurs | C Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 8th | Table position | 18th |
| 12 (9) | Points (played) | 7 (9) |
| 3-3-3 | W-D-L | 2-1-6 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 1.12 |
| 1.25 | Goals against / game* | 2.38 |
| LLDWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLDLW |
| 1518 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1528 |
| 0.80 / 0.93 | Attack / defence index | 0.87 / 1.53 |
| 79.4 | Possession % (this match) | 20.6 |
| 34 | Shots (this match) | 2 |
| 9 | Shots on target (this match) | 1 |
| 19 | Corners (this match) | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls (this match) | 10 |
Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Spurs 2 wins · 0 draws · C Palace 3 wins