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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: La Liga, Oct 31, 2026

La Liga
HomeRayo Vallecano6012OVR
3–0FT
AwayCelta Vigo6814OVR
  • ⚽ 36' Jorge de Frutos
  • ⚽ 55' Jorge de Frutos
  • ⚽ 73' Unai LĂłpez

Saturday, October 31, 2026 ¡ 10:15 AM CT ¡ Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from LALIGA on YouTube: “RAYO VALLECANO 3 - 0 CELTA | HIGHLIGHTS LALIGA EA SPORTS”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Yellow card for Unai LĂłpez (Rayo).
  2. Hugo Álvarez (Celta Vigo) shoots off target. big chance*
  3. GOAL! Jorge de Frutos scores for Rayo. Rayo 1–0 Celta Vigo. Assist: Sergio Camello.
  4. Substitution for Celta Vigo: Pablo DurĂĄn comes on for Hugo Gonzalez.
  5. Substitution for Rayo: Giorgi Tsitaishvili comes on for Álvaro García.
  6. Half-time: Rayo 1–0 Celta Vigo.
  7. GOAL! Jorge de Frutos scores for Rayo. Rayo 2–0 Celta Vigo. Assist: Andrei Ratiu.
  8. Substitution for Rayo: Isi PalazĂłn comes on for Sergio Camello.
  9. Substitution for Celta Vigo: Iago Aspas comes on for Javi GalĂĄn.
  10. Substitution for Rayo: Jozhua Vertrouwd comes on for AdriĂ  Pedrosa.
  11. Substitution for Celta Vigo: Sergio Carreira comes on for Ferran JutglĂ .
  12. Substitution for Celta Vigo: Williot Swedberg comes on for SebastiĂĄn CĂĄceres.
  13. Substitution for Rayo: Gnangoro Bouare Samake comes on for Óscar Valentín.
  14. Yellow card for Gnangoro Bouare Samake (Rayo).
  15. GOAL! Unai López scores for Rayo. Rayo 3–0 Celta Vigo. Assist: Gnangoro Bouare Samake.
  16. Substitution for Celta Vigo: Couhaib Driouech comes on for Hugo Álvarez.
  17. Substitution for Rayo: Alexandre AlemĂŁo comes on for Unai LĂłpez.
  18. Yellow card for Williot Swedberg (Celta Vigo).
  19. Isi PalazĂłn (Rayo) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  20. Full-time: Rayo 3–0 Celta Vigo.
Team comparison

Ratings

6012OVRHome

Rayo Vallecano

ATT
6112
DEF
5110
FRM
6714
ELO
6313
  • 6112Attack5211
  • 5110Defence8818
  • 6714Form6714
  • 6313Elo strength6313
  • 6012Overall6814
ATTDEFFRMELO
Rayo Celta Vigo
6814OVRAway

Celta Vigo

ATT
5211
DEF
8818
FRM
6714
ELO
6313

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Rayo 3–0 Celta Vigo. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Rayo win at only 25%, and its favorite was a Celta Vigo win (47%). Goals: 3 scored against 2.3 expected (Rayo 3 vs 0.9, Celta Vigo 0 vs 1.3). Shots: Rayo 14 (8 on target) vs Celta Vigo 11 (0); possession 52.6% – 47.4%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Rayo (11th, 12 pts from 10) host Celta Vigo (9th, 12 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Rayo have scored 12 and conceded 20 in 9 La Liga games (1.3 and 2.2 per game). Celta Vigo have scored 10 and conceded 7 in 10 La Liga games (1.0 and 0.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Rayo WDDLW, Celta Vigo DLWWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Rayo won 2, Celta Vigo won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.3. Celta Vigo are clear favorites: Rayo 25%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 47%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Rayo 1523, Celta Vigo 1524) give Rayo an expected score of 58%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Rayo winDrawCelta Vigo win

Expected goals (model): Rayo 0.91 · Celta Vigo 1.35 · most likely score 0–1 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.66 / away 1.32 goals per game from 101 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Rayo expected score 58%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

RayoCelta Vigo
11thTable position9th
12 (10)Points (played)12 (11)
3-3-4W-D-L2-6-3
1.33Goals for / game*1.00
2.22Goals against / game*0.70
WDDLWForm, last 5 (all comps)DLWWD
1523Elo rating (pre-match)1524
0.92 / 1.37Attack / defence index0.75 / 0.59
52.6Possession % (this match)47.4
14Shots (this match)11
8Shots on target (this match)0
4Corners (this match)3
11Fouls (this match)16

Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Rayo 2 wins ¡ 2 draws ¡ Celta Vigo 1 win

  • Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo 0–0 Rayo Vallecano