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PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: Eredivisie, Oct 31, 2026

Eredivisie
HomePSV Eindhoven7615OVR
7–0FT
AwayWillem II449OVR
  • ⚽ 20' Mauro Júnior
  • ⚽ 44' Guus Til
  • ⚽ 50' Sven Mijnans
  • ⚽ 53' Ruben Van Bommel
  • ⚽ 73' Ricardo Pepi
  • ⚽ 77' Kodai Sano
  • ⚽ 81' Shuryjano Cornecion

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:45 PM CT · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Mauro Júnior scores for PSV. PSV 1–0 Willem II.
  2. Yellow card for Maxim Dekker (Willem II).
  3. GOAL! Guus Til scores for PSV. PSV 2–0 Willem II. Assist: Armando Obispo.
  4. Half-time: PSV 2–0 Willem II.
  5. GOAL! Sven Mijnans scores for PSV. PSV 3–0 Willem II. Assist: Sergiño Dest.
  6. GOAL! Ruben Van Bommel scores for PSV. PSV 4–0 Willem II. Assist: Sven Mijnans.
  7. Substitution for PSV: Noah Fernandez comes on for Mauro Júnior.
  8. Substitution for PSV: Ricardo Pepi comes on for Ivan Perisic.
  9. Substitution for Willem II: Per Van Loon comes on for Hidde ter Avest.
  10. Uriel Van Aalst (Willem II) hits the woodwork!
  11. Substitution for PSV: Ayoni Santos comes on for Ruben Van Bommel.
  12. Substitution for PSV: Esmir Bajraktarevic comes on for Sergiño Dest.
  13. GOAL! Ricardo Pepi scores for PSV. PSV 5–0 Willem II. Assist: Esmir Bajraktarevic.
  14. Substitution for Willem II: Kasper Boogaard comes on for Anass Zarrouk.
  15. Substitution for Willem II: Tonny Vilhena comes on for Vito van Crooij.
  16. Yellow card for Finn Stam (Willem II).
  17. GOAL! Kodai Sano scores for PSV. PSV 6–0 Willem II. Assist: Ricardo Pepi.
  18. Substitution for PSV: Shuryjano Cornecion comes on for Guus Til.
  19. Substitution for Willem II: Alessandro Ciranni comes on for Uriel Van Aalst.
  20. Substitution for Willem II: Amine Et-Taibi comes on for Finn Stam.
  21. GOAL! Shuryjano Cornecion scores for PSV. PSV 7–0 Willem II.
  22. Full-time: PSV 7–0 Willem II.
Team comparison

Ratings

7615OVRHome

PSV Eindhoven

ATT
7916
DEF
7716
FRM
6213
ELO
8317
  • 7916Attack469
  • 7716Defence479
  • 6213Form449
  • 8317Elo strength388
  • 7615Overall449
ATTDEFFRMELO
PSV Willem II
449OVRAway

Willem II

ATT
469
DEF
479
FRM
449
ELO
388

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: PSV 7–0 Willem II. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a PSV win (85%). Goals: 7 scored against 4.7 expected (PSV 7 vs 3.7, Willem II 0 vs 1.0). Shots: PSV 20 (9 on target) vs Willem II 4 (1); possession 70% – 30%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

PSV (3rd, 23 pts from 11) host Willem II (18th, 2 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. PSV have scored 28 and conceded 13 in 10 Eredivisie games (2.8 and 1.3 per game). Willem II have scored 10 and conceded 32 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.0 and 3.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): PSV WLLWD, Willem II LLLLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, PSV won 3, Willem II won 1 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 3.7–1.0. PSV are clear favorites: PSV 85%, draw 9%, Willem II 6%. The single most likely score is 3–0, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (PSV 1706, Willem II 1303) give PSV an expected score of 94%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

PSV winDrawWillem II win

Expected goals (model): PSV 3.67 · Willem II 0.99 · most likely score 3–0 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.75 / away 2.03 goals per game from 91 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: PSV expected score 94%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

PSVWillem II
3rdTable position18th
23 (11)Points (played)2 (11)
7-2-2W-D-L0-2-9
2.80Goals for / game*1.00
1.30Goals against / game*3.20
WLLWDForm, last 5 (all comps)LLLLW
1706Elo rating (pre-match)1303
1.37 / 0.76Attack / defence index0.64 / 1.53
70Possession % (this match)30
20Shots (this match)4
9Shots on target (this match)1
11Corners (this match)1
7Fouls (this match)4

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

PSV 3 wins · 1 draw · Willem II 1 win

  • PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Willem II
  • Willem II 0–2 PSV Eindhoven
  • PSV Eindhoven 4–2 Willem II
  • Willem II 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
  • Willem II 0–2 PSV Eindhoven