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AC Milan vs Internazionale: Serie A, Oct 31, 2026

Serie A
HomeAC Milan7215OVR
3–1FT
AwayInternazionale8217OVR
  • ⚽ 4' Christian Pulisic
  • ⚽ 10' Adrien Rabiot
  • ⚽ 22' Alessandro Bastoni
  • ⚽ 43' Diego Moreira

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 2:45 PM CT · San Siro, Milano, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Moreira the Star of the Derby! | MILAN-INTER | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Christian Pulisic scores for Milan. Milan 1–0 Inter Milan. Assist: Diego Moreira.
  2. GOAL! Adrien Rabiot scores for Milan. Milan 2–0 Inter Milan. Assist: Diego Moreira.
  3. Manuel Akanji (Inter Milan) shoots off target. big chance*
  4. Yann Bisseck (Inter Milan) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  5. GOAL! Alessandro Bastoni scores for Inter Milan. Milan 2–1 Inter Milan.
  6. Djed Spence (Inter Milan) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  7. GOAL! Diego Moreira scores for Milan. Milan 3–1 Inter Milan.
  8. Half-time: Milan 3–1 Inter Milan.
  9. Yellow card for Koni De Winter (Milan).
  10. Yellow card for Diego Moreira (Milan).
  11. Carlos Augusto (Inter Milan) shoots off target. big chance*
  12. Substitution for Inter Milan: Piotr Zielinski comes on for Hakan Çalhanoglu.
  13. Substitution for Inter Milan: Henrikh Mkhitaryan comes on for Andy Diouf.
  14. Substitution for Inter Milan: Federico Dimarco comes on for Alessandro Bastoni.
  15. Substitution for Inter Milan: Pio Esposito comes on for Nicolò Barella.
  16. Substitution for Inter Milan: Ange-Yoan Bonny comes on for Yann Bisseck.
  17. Substitution for Milan: Ardon Jashari comes on for Yunus Musah.
  18. Substitution for Milan: Alphadjo Cissè comes on for Christian Pulisic.
  19. Substitution for Milan: Davide Bartesaghi comes on for Sankhoun Diawara.
  20. Substitution for Milan: Filippo Terracciano comes on for Gonçalo Ramos.
  21. Substitution for Milan: Omari Hutchinson comes on for Diego Moreira.
  22. Yellow card for Carlos Augusto (Inter Milan).
  23. Full-time: Milan 3–1 Inter Milan.
Team comparison

Ratings

7215OVRHome

AC Milan

ATT
7215
DEF
7315
FRM
7114
ELO
7014
  • 7215Attack8417
  • 7315Defence7615
  • 7114Form8517
  • 7014Elo strength8617
  • 7215Overall8217
ATTDEFFRMELO
Milan Inter Milan
8217OVRAway

Internazionale

ATT
8417
DEF
7615
FRM
8517
ELO
8617

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Milan 3–1 Inter Milan. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Milan win at only 28%, and its favorite was an Inter Milan win (50%). Goals: 4 scored against 3.5 expected (Milan 3 vs 1.5, Inter Milan 1 vs 2.0). Shots: Milan 7 (4 on target) vs Inter Milan 19 (8); possession 43.1% – 56.9%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Milan (4th, 21 pts from 10) host Inter Milan (2nd, 25 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Milan have scored 18 and conceded 11 in 9 Serie A games (2.0 and 1.2 per game). Inter Milan have scored 25 and conceded 10 in 9 Serie A games (2.8 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Milan WWLWL, Inter Milan LWWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Milan won 3, Inter Milan won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.5–2.0. Inter Milan are clear favorites: Milan 28%, draw 22%, Inter Milan 50%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Milan 1594, Inter Milan 1737) give Milan an expected score of 38%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Milan winDrawInter Milan win

Expected goals (model): Milan 1.49 · Inter Milan 2.02 · most likely score 1–2 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.58 goals per game from 92 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Milan expected score 38%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

MilanInter Milan
4thTable position2nd
21 (10)Points (played)25 (10)
6-3-1W-D-L8-1-1
2.00Goals for / game*2.78
1.22Goals against / game*1.11
WWLWLForm, last 5 (all comps)LWWWW
1594Elo rating (pre-match)1737
1.19 / 0.82Attack / defence index1.55 / 0.77
43.1Possession % (this match)56.9
7Shots (this match)19
4Shots on target (this match)8
3Corners (this match)11
8Fouls (this match)14

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Milan 3 wins · 2 draws · Inter Milan 0 wins

  • AC Milan 1–1 Internazionale
  • AC Milan 1–0 Internazionale
  • Internazionale 0–1 AC Milan
  • Internazionale 0–3 AC Milan
  • AC Milan 1–1 Internazionale