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Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Premier League, Oct 31, 2026

Premier League
HomeManchester City7816OVR
0–1FT
AwayBrighton & Hove Albion7816OVR
  • âšœ 11' Yasin Ayari

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from NBC Sports on YouTube: “Manchester City v. Brighton | PREMIER LEAGUE HIGHLIGHTS | 10/31/2026”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Yasin Ayari scores for Brighton. Man City 0–1 Brighton. Assist: Maxim De Cuyper.
  2. Yellow card for Chema Andrés (Brighton).
  3. Iliman Ndiaye (Man City) shoots off target. big chance*
  4. Half-time: Man City 0–1 Brighton.
  5. Yellow card for Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton).
  6. Substitution for Man City: Rayan Cherki comes on for Ayyoub Bouaddi.
  7. Erling Haaland (Man City) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  8. Substitution for Brighton: Jaouen Hadjam comes on for Olivier Boscagli.
  9. Substitution for Brighton: Mats Wieffer comes on for Chema Andrés.
  10. Substitution for Man City: Nico O'Reilly comes on for Enzo FernĂĄndez.
  11. Substitution for Brighton: Malick Yalcouyé comes on for Maxim De Cuyper.
  12. Substitution for Brighton: Jack Hinshelwood comes on for Charalambos Kostoulas.
  13. Iliman Ndiaye (Man City) hits the woodwork!
  14. Substitution for Man City: Allan Elias comes on for Iliman Ndiaye.
  15. Substitution for Man City: Phil Foden comes on for Josko Gvardiol.
  16. Yellow card for Pascal Gross (Brighton).
  17. Substitution for Brighton: Georginio Rutter comes on for Diego GĂłmez.
  18. Nico O'Reilly (Man City) shoots off target. big chance*
  19. Full-time: Man City 0–1 Brighton.
Team comparison

Ratings

7816OVRHome

Manchester City

ATT
8517
DEF
7114
FRM
7114
ELO
8718
  • 8517Attack9018
  • 7114Defence7816
  • 7114Form6213
  • 8718Elo strength7515
  • 7816Overall7816
ATTDEFFRMELO
Man City Brighton
7816OVRAway

Brighton & Hove Albion

ATT
9018
DEF
7816
FRM
6213
ELO
7515

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Man City 0–1 Brighton. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Brighton win (42%). Goals: 1 scored against 3.7 expected (Man City 0 vs 1.8, Brighton 1 vs 1.9). Shots: Man City 21 (6 on target) vs Brighton 7 (3); possession 62.4% – 37.6%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Man City (1st, 21 pts from 9) host Brighton (3rd, 19 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Man City have scored 20 and conceded 9 in 8 Premier League games (2.5 and 1.1 per game). Brighton have scored 23 and conceded 7 in 8 Premier League games (2.9 and 0.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Man City LWWLW, Brighton WWDLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Man City won 0, Brighton won 2 and 3 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.8–1.9. This looks evenly matched: Man City 36%, draw 22%, Brighton 42%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Man City 1747, Brighton 1637) give Man City an expected score of 73%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Man City winDrawBrighton win

Expected goals (model): Man City 1.77 · Brighton 1.92 · most likely score 1–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.52 / away 1.25 goals per game from 81 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Man City expected score 73%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Man CityBrighton
1stTable position3rd
21 (9)Points (played)19 (9)
7-0-2W-D-L6-1-2
2.50Goals for / game*2.88
1.12Goals against / game*0.88
LWWLWForm, last 5 (all comps)WWDLL
1747Elo rating (pre-match)1637
1.59 / 0.86Attack / defence index1.78 / 0.73
62.4Possession % (this match)37.6
21Shots (this match)7
6Shots on target (this match)3
8Corners (this match)2
9Fouls (this match)13

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Man City 0 wins · 3 draws · Brighton 2 wins

  • Manchester City 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Manchester City 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City
  • Manchester City 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City