Levante
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 5712
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5812
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Estadi Ciutat de València, Manises, Spain
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from ESPN FC on YouTube: “Levante vs. Atletico Madrid | LALIGA Highlights | ESPN FC”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Levante 0–2 Atlético. That matched the model's most likely outcome, an Atlético win (57%). Goals: 2 scored against 3.1 expected (Levante 0 vs 1.1, Atlético 2 vs 2.0). Shots: Levante 20 (4 on target) vs Atlético 11 (5); possession 46% – 54%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Levante (17th, 10 pts from 11) host Atlético (2nd, 28 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Levante have scored 16 and conceded 19 in 10 La Liga games (1.6 and 1.9 per game). Atlético have scored 20 and conceded 8 in 10 La Liga games (2.0 and 0.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Levante LDDWL, Atlético WWWDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Levante won 1, Atlético won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–2.0. Atlético are clear favorites: Levante 21%, draw 22%, Atlético 57%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Levante 1481, Atlético 1664) give Levante an expected score of 33%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Levante 1.14 · Atlético 1.99 · most likely score 1–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.68 / away 1.31 goals per game from 100 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Levante expected score 33%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Levante | Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Table position | 2nd |
| 10 (11) | Points (played) | 28 (11) |
| 2-4-5 | W-D-L | 9-1-1 |
| 1.60 | Goals for / game* | 2.00 |
| 1.90 | Goals against / game* | 0.80 |
| LDDWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWDW |
| 1481 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1664 |
| 1.05 / 1.21 | Attack / defence index | 1.26 / 0.64 |
| 46 | Possession % (this match) | 54 |
| 20 | Shots (this match) | 11 |
| 4 | Shots on target (this match) | 5 |
| 5 | Corners (this match) | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls (this match) | 7 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Levante 1 win · 2 draws · Atlético 2 wins