Kocaelispor
- ATT
- 5912
- DEF
- 7716
- FRM
- 5812
- ELO
- 5812
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli, Türkiye
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed.
Official video from beIN SPORTS Türkiye on YouTube: “Kocaelispor vs. Çaykur Rizespor - Highlights | Trendyol Süper Lig - 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Kocaelispor 0–0 Caykur Rizespor. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 25%, and its favorite was a Kocaelispor win (54%). Goals: 0 scored against 2.4 expected (Kocaelispor 0 vs 1.6, Caykur Rizespor 0 vs 0.9). Shots: Kocaelispor 14 (4 on target) vs Caykur Rizespor 17 (4); possession 49% – 51%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Kocaelispor (8th, 16 pts from 10) host Caykur Rizespor (13th, 11 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Kocaelispor have scored 11 and conceded 9 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.2 and 1.0 per game). Caykur Rizespor have scored 11 and conceded 15 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.2 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Kocaelispor LWLLW, Caykur Rizespor DWLLL. In the last 2 meetings on record, Kocaelispor won 0, Caykur Rizespor won 1 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–0.9. Kocaelispor are clear favorites: Kocaelispor 54%, draw 25%, Caykur Rizespor 20%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Kocaelispor 1484, Caykur Rizespor 1479) give Kocaelispor an expected score of 59%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Kocaelispor 1.58 · Caykur Rizespor 0.86 · most likely score 1–0 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.29 goals per game from 83 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Kocaelispor expected score 59%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Kocaelispor | Caykur Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| 8th | Table position | 13th |
| 16 (10) | Points (played) | 11 (10) |
| 5-1-4 | W-D-L | 3-2-5 |
| 1.22 | Goals for / game* | 1.22 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.67 |
| LWLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWLLL |
| 1484 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1479 |
| 0.88 / 0.76 | Attack / defence index | 0.88 / 1.10 |
| 49 | Possession % (this match) | 51 |
| 14 | Shots (this match) | 17 |
| 4 | Shots on target (this match) | 4 |
| 7 | Corners (this match) | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls (this match) | 17 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Kocaelispor 0 wins · 1 draw · Caykur Rizespor 1 win