Hull City
- ATT
- 5912
- DEF
- 7515
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 6213
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · The MKM Stadium, Hull, England
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from NBC Sports on YouTube: “Hull City v. Ipswich Town | PREMIER LEAGUE HIGHLIGHTS | 10/31/2026”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Hull 2–2 Ipswich. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 24%, and its favorite was a Hull win (53%). Goals: 4 scored against 2.8 expected (Hull 2 vs 1.7, Ipswich 2 vs 1.1). Shots: Hull 9 (3 on target) vs Ipswich 15 (3); possession 38.5% – 61.5%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Hull (10th, 11 pts from 9) host Ipswich (13th, 11 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Hull have scored 9 and conceded 8 in 8 Premier League games (1.1 and 1.0 per game). Ipswich have scored 12 and conceded 16 in 8 Premier League games (1.5 and 2.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Hull DLDLD, Ipswich LLWLD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Hull won 0, Ipswich won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.7–1.1. Hull are clear favorites: Hull 53%, draw 24%, Ipswich 23%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Hull 1517, Ipswich 1387) give Hull an expected score of 75%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Hull 1.74 · Ipswich 1.06 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.52 / away 1.25 goals per game from 81 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Hull expected score 75%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Hull | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| 10th | Table position | 13th |
| 11 (9) | Points (played) | 11 (9) |
| 2-5-2 | W-D-L | 3-2-4 |
| 1.12 | Goals for / game* | 1.50 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game* | 2.00 |
| DLDLD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLWLD |
| 1517 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1387 |
| 0.86 / 0.80 | Attack / defence index | 1.06 / 1.32 |
| 38.5 | Possession % (this match) | 61.5 |
| 9 | Shots (this match) | 15 |
| 3 | Shots on target (this match) | 3 |
| 6 | Corners (this match) | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls (this match) | 12 |
Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Hull 0 wins · 1 draw · Ipswich 4 wins