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Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: Eredivisie, Oct 31, 2026

Eredivisie
HomeHeerenveen7215OVR
1–0FT
AwayNEC Nijmegen6413OVR
  • ⚽ 66' Dylan Vente

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:45 PM CT · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, Netherlands

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. Ahmetcan Kaplan (NEC) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  2. Nolhan Courtens (Heerenveen) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  3. Yellow card for Clement Bischoff (NEC).
  4. Yellow card for Oliver Braude (Heerenveen).
  5. Yellow card for Bryan Linssen (NEC).
  6. Kevin Kers (NEC) hits the woodwork!
  7. Yellow card for Vasilios Zagaritis (Heerenveen).
  8. Half-time: Heerenveen 0–0 NEC.
  9. Yellow card for Marcus Linday (Heerenveen).
  10. Substitution for Heerenveen: Ringo Meerveld comes on for Maxence Rivera.
  11. GOAL! Dylan Vente scores for Heerenveen. Heerenveen 1–0 NEC. Assist: Levi Smans.
  12. Substitution for NEC: Ayodele Thomas comes on for Clement Bischoff.
  13. Substitution for NEC: Kaj Sierhuis comes on for Perr Schuurs.
  14. Substitution for Heerenveen: Dirk Proper comes on for Nolhan Courtens.
  15. Substitution for Heerenveen: Luca Oyen comes on for Levi Smans.
  16. Substitution for NEC: Gabi Brás comes on for Tobias Storm.
  17. Yellow card for Ayodele Thomas (NEC).
  18. Substitution for NEC: Adam Tahaui comes on for Kevin Kers.
  19. Substitution for NEC: Willum Thór Willumsson comes on for Jamiro Monteiro.
  20. Kaj Sierhuis (NEC) hits the woodwork!
  21. Substitution for Heerenveen: Marko Farji comes on for Jacob Trenskow.
  22. Full-time: Heerenveen 1–0 NEC.
Team comparison

Ratings

7215OVRHome

Heerenveen

ATT
6313
DEF
7716
FRM
8517
ELO
6413
  • 6313Attack6213
  • 7716Defence6714
  • 8517Form6213
  • 6413Elo strength6513
  • 7215Overall6413
ATTDEFFRMELO
Heerenveen NEC
6413OVRAway

NEC Nijmegen

ATT
6213
DEF
6714
FRM
6213
ELO
6513

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Heerenveen 1–0 NEC. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Heerenveen win (42%). Goals: 1 scored against 3.0 expected (Heerenveen 1 vs 1.6, NEC 0 vs 1.4). Shots: Heerenveen 8 (2 on target) vs NEC 21 (2); possession 38.5% – 61.5%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Heerenveen (7th, 18 pts from 11) host NEC (13th, 11 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. Heerenveen have scored 18 and conceded 13 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.8 and 1.3 per game). NEC have scored 17 and conceded 18 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.7 and 1.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Heerenveen WLWWW, NEC DDDWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Heerenveen won 2, NEC won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–1.4. Heerenveen are slight favorites: Heerenveen 42%, draw 24%, NEC 34%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Heerenveen 1532, NEC 1546) give Heerenveen an expected score of 57%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Heerenveen winDrawNEC win

Expected goals (model): Heerenveen 1.62 · NEC 1.43 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.75 / away 2.03 goals per game from 91 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Heerenveen expected score 57%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

HeerenveenNEC
7thTable position13th
18 (11)Points (played)11 (11)
5-3-3W-D-L2-5-4
1.80Goals for / game*1.70
1.30Goals against / game*1.80
WLWWWForm, last 5 (all comps)DDDWD
1532Elo rating (pre-match)1546
0.96 / 0.76Attack / defence index0.92 / 0.96
38.5Possession % (this match)61.5
8Shots (this match)21
2Shots on target (this match)2
5Corners (this match)7
7Fouls (this match)7

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Heerenveen 2 wins · 1 draw · NEC 2 wins

  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen
  • Heerenveen 3–2 NEC Nijmegen
  • Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
  • NEC Nijmegen 3–0 Heerenveen
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Heerenveen