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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: Bundesliga, Oct 31, 2026

Bundesliga
HomeBorussia Mönchengladbach5511OVR
0–0FT
AwaySC Paderborn 076012OVR

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 9:30 AM CT · BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach, Germany

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. Yellow card for Tom Baack (Paderborn).
  2. Jano Horst (Paderborn) shoots off target. big chance*
  3. Joe Scally (Gladbach) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  4. Yellow card for Daiki Hashioka (Gladbach).
  5. Santiago Castaneda (Paderborn) shoots off target. big chance*
  6. Fabio Chiarodia (Gladbach) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  7. Half-time: Gladbach 0–0 Paderborn.
  8. Yellow card for Fabio Chiarodia (Gladbach).
  9. Substitution for Paderborn: Steffen Tigges comes on for Marvin Pieringer.
  10. Daiki Hashioka (Gladbach) shoots off target. big chance*
  11. Substitution for Paderborn: Felix Götze comes on for Jano Horst.
  12. Substitution for Paderborn: Laurin Ulrich comes on for Tom Baack.
  13. Substitution for Gladbach: Isac Lidberg comes on for Shuto Machino.
  14. Substitution for Gladbach: Nicolas Kühn comes on for Robin Hack.
  15. Substitution for Gladbach: Kou Itakura comes on for Florian Neuhaus.
  16. Substitution for Gladbach: Jens Castrop comes on for Wael Mohya.
  17. Yellow card for Tjark Scheller (Paderborn).
  18. Substitution for Paderborn: Rayan Philippe comes on for Stefano Marino.
  19. Yellow card for Laurin Ulrich (Paderborn).
  20. Tjark Scheller (Paderborn) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  21. Full-time: Gladbach 0–0 Paderborn.
Team comparison

Ratings

5511OVRHome

Borussia Mönchengladbach

ATT
6112
DEF
479
FRM
6213
ELO
5211
  • 6112Attack459
  • 479Defence7415
  • 6213Form6213
  • 5211Elo strength6012
  • 5511Overall6012
ATTDEFFRMELO
Gladbach Paderborn
6012OVRAway

SC Paderborn 07

ATT
459
DEF
7415
FRM
6213
ELO
6012

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Gladbach 0–0 Paderborn. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 24%, and its favorite was a Gladbach win (45%). Goals: 0 scored against 3.0 expected (Gladbach 0 vs 1.6, Paderborn 0 vs 1.3). Shots: Gladbach 12 (4 on target) vs Paderborn 13 (4); possession 43% – 57%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Gladbach (18th, 4 pts from 8) host Paderborn (12th, 9 pts from 8) in the Bundesliga table as it stands. Gladbach have scored 11 and conceded 22 in 7 Bundesliga games (1.6 and 3.1 per game). Paderborn have scored 6 and conceded 9 in 7 Bundesliga games (0.9 and 1.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Gladbach DLLWW, Paderborn WLDWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Gladbach won 5, Paderborn won 0 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–1.3. Gladbach are slight favorites: Gladbach 45%, draw 24%, Paderborn 31%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Gladbach 1429, Paderborn 1496) give Gladbach an expected score of 49%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Gladbach winDrawPaderborn win

Expected goals (model): Gladbach 1.63 · Paderborn 1.32 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.22 / away 1.36 goals per game from 64 Bundesliga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Gladbach expected score 49%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

GladbachPaderborn
18thTable position12th
4 (8)Points (played)9 (8)
1-1-6W-D-L2-3-3
1.57Goals for / game*0.86
3.14Goals against / game*1.29
DLLWWForm, last 5 (all comps)WLDWL
1429Elo rating (pre-match)1496
0.91 / 1.53Attack / defence index0.64 / 0.80
43Possession % (this match)57
12Shots (this match)13
4Shots on target (this match)4
4Corners (this match)7
10Fouls (this match)9

Table: current Bundesliga standings. *Bundesliga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Gladbach 5 wins · 0 draws · Paderborn 0 wins

  • SC Paderborn 07 1–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 SC Paderborn 07
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 SC Paderborn 07
  • SC Paderborn 07 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • SC Paderborn 07 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach