Fenerbahce
- ATT
- 8517
- DEF
- 8016
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 7716
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 11:00 AM CT · Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, Istanbul, Türkiye
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed.
Official video from beIN SPORTS Türkiye on YouTube: “Fenerbahçe - Göztepe - Highlights | Trendyol Süper Lig - 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Fenerbahce 1–2 Goztepe. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Goztepe win at only 12%, and its favorite was a Fenerbahce win (73%). Goals: 3 scored against 4.2 expected (Fenerbahce 1 vs 3.0, Goztepe 2 vs 1.2). Shots: Fenerbahce 18 (6 on target) vs Goztepe 12 (6); possession 66% – 34%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Fenerbahce (5th, 16 pts from 10) host Goztepe (9th, 15 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Fenerbahce have scored 23 and conceded 8 in 9 Süper Lig games (2.6 and 0.9 per game). Goztepe have scored 19 and conceded 16 in 9 Süper Lig games (2.1 and 1.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Fenerbahce WLWDL, Goztepe DDWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Fenerbahce won 2, Goztepe won 0 and 3 were drawn. The goals model expects about 3.0–1.2. Fenerbahce are clear favorites: Fenerbahce 73%, draw 14%, Goztepe 12%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Fenerbahce 1654, Goztepe 1544) give Fenerbahce an expected score of 73%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Fenerbahce 2.99 · Goztepe 1.22 · most likely score 2–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.27 goals per game from 84 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Fenerbahce expected score 73%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Fenerbahçe 1-2 Göztepe Maç Sonu
Our summary, not a quote: Post-match analysis of Fenerbahce vs Goztepe.
Watch on YouTube ↗ · Follow on X ↗ · Instagram ↗ via Serdar Kelleci
ROTASYON ZAMANI! | Konya - GS, FB - Göztepe, Paşa - BJK Maç Önü
Our summary, not a quote: Pre-match look at Fenerbahce vs Goztepe (part of a show covering several games).
Watch on YouTube ↗ · Follow on X ↗ via Saha İçi
Embedded from the creators' official channels. Opinions are the creators' own, not The Coefficient's.
| Fenerbahce | Goztepe | |
|---|---|---|
| 5th | Table position | 9th |
| 16 (10) | Points (played) | 15 (10) |
| 5-1-4 | W-D-L | 4-3-3 |
| 2.56 | Goals for / game* | 2.11 |
| 0.89 | Goals against / game* | 1.78 |
| WLWDL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DDWWW |
| 1654 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1544 |
| 1.58 / 0.71 | Attack / defence index | 1.34 / 1.17 |
| 66 | Possession % (this match) | 34 |
| 18 | Shots (this match) | 12 |
| 6 | Shots on target (this match) | 6 |
| 5 | Corners (this match) | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls (this match) | 19 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Fenerbahce 2 wins · 3 draws · Goztepe 0 wins