Coventry City
- ATT
- 479
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 5812
- ELO
- 5712
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, England
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from NBC Sports on YouTube: “Coventry City v. Sunderland | PREMIER LEAGUE HIGHLIGHTS | 10/31/2026”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Coventry 3–1 Sunderland. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Coventry win (40%). Goals: 4 scored against 2.3 expected (Coventry 3 vs 1.2, Sunderland 1 vs 1.0). Shots: Coventry 12 (4 on target) vs Sunderland 17 (2); possession 43.5% – 56.5%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Coventry (16th, 9 pts from 9) host Sunderland (20th, 5 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Coventry have scored 6 and conceded 15 in 8 Premier League games (0.8 and 1.9 per game). Sunderland have scored 6 and conceded 14 in 8 Premier League games (0.8 and 1.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Coventry LWWLL, Sunderland WLDDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Coventry won 2, Sunderland won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.0. Coventry are slight favorites: Coventry 40%, draw 29%, Sunderland 32%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Coventry 1474, Sunderland 1515) give Coventry an expected score of 53%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Coventry 1.21 · Sunderland 1.05 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.52 / away 1.25 goals per game from 81 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Coventry expected score 53%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Coventry | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Table position | 20th |
| 9 (9) | Points (played) | 5 (9) |
| 3-0-6 | W-D-L | 1-2-6 |
| 0.75 | Goals for / game* | 0.75 |
| 1.88 | Goals against / game* | 1.75 |
| LWWLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLDDW |
| 1474 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1515 |
| 0.67 / 1.26 | Attack / defence index | 0.67 / 1.19 |
| 43.5 | Possession % (this match) | 56.5 |
| 12 | Shots (this match) | 17 |
| 4 | Shots on target (this match) | 2 |
| 4 | Corners (this match) | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls (this match) | 9 |
Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Coventry 2 wins · 2 draws · Sunderland 1 win