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SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles: Eredivisie, Oct 31, 2026

Eredivisie
HomeSC Cambuur6513OVR
4–0FT
AwayGo Ahead Eagles6413OVR
  • ⚽ 7' Ismaël Baouf
  • ⚽ 15' Jason Ceka
  • ⚽ 41' Billy Van Duijl
  • ⚽ 80' Rafik El Arguioui

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:00 PM CT · Kooi Stadium, Leeuwarden, Netherlands

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Ismaël Baouf scores for Cambuur. Cambuur 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles. Assist: Rafik El Arguioui.
  2. Billy Van Duijl (Cambuur) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  3. Devid Eugene Bouah (Cambuur) shoots off target. big chance*
  4. GOAL! Jason Ceka scores for Cambuur. Cambuur 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles. Assist: Devid Eugene Bouah.
  5. Sören Tengstedt (Go Ahead Eagles) hits the woodwork!
  6. GOAL! Billy Van Duijl scores for Cambuur. Cambuur 3–0 Go Ahead Eagles. Assist: Ilyes Hamache.
  7. Yellow card for Nicky Souren (Cambuur).
  8. Half-time: Cambuur 3–0 Go Ahead Eagles.
  9. Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson comes on for Evert Linthorst.
  10. Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Thibo Baeten comes on for Oskar Siira Sivertsen.
  11. Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Tomas Galvez comes on for Dean James.
  12. Yellow card for Thibo Baeten (Go Ahead Eagles).
  13. Ismaël Baouf (Cambuur) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  14. Yellow card for Nicolas Binder (Cambuur).
  15. Substitution for Cambuur: Sami Bouhoudane comes on for Nicolas Binder.
  16. Substitution for Cambuur: Ethan Apkakou comes on for Mathieu Maertens.
  17. Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Richonell Margaret comes on for Victor Edvardsen.
  18. Substitution for Cambuur: Daan Visser comes on for Nicky Souren.
  19. Substitution for Cambuur: Iwan Henstra comes on for Jason Ceka.
  20. GOAL! Rafik El Arguioui scores for Cambuur. Cambuur 4–0 Go Ahead Eagles. Assist: Sami Bouhoudane.
  21. Substitution for Go Ahead Eagles: Yassir Rahmouni comes on for Mathis Suray.
  22. Substitution for Cambuur: Skye Vink comes on for Rafik El Arguioui.
  23. Full-time: Cambuur 4–0 Go Ahead Eagles.
Team comparison

Ratings

6513OVRHome

SC Cambuur

ATT
6513
DEF
6012
FRM
8116
ELO
5812
  • 6513Attack7215
  • 6012Defence5812
  • 8116Form6714
  • 5812Elo strength5611
  • 6513Overall6413
ATTDEFFRMELO
Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles
6413OVRAway

Go Ahead Eagles

ATT
7215
DEF
5812
FRM
6714
ELO
5611

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Cambuur 4–0 Go Ahead Eagles. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Cambuur win at only 32%, and its favorite was a Go Ahead Eagles win (50%). Goals: 4 scored against 4.7 expected (Cambuur 4 vs 2.1, Go Ahead Eagles 0 vs 2.6). Shots: Cambuur 15 (7 on target) vs Go Ahead Eagles 10 (1); possession 51.4% – 48.6%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Cambuur (9th, 15 pts from 11) host Go Ahead Eagles (10th, 14 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. Cambuur have scored 19 and conceded 22 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.9 and 2.2 per game). Go Ahead Eagles have scored 23 and conceded 23 in 10 Eredivisie games (2.3 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Cambuur DWDWW, Go Ahead Eagles DDLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Cambuur won 2, Go Ahead Eagles won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.1–2.6. Go Ahead Eagles are slight favorites: Cambuur 32%, draw 18%, Go Ahead Eagles 50%. The single most likely score is 2–2, but even that only has a 7% chance. Elo ratings (Cambuur 1485, Go Ahead Eagles 1462) give Cambuur an expected score of 62%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Cambuur winDrawGo Ahead Eagles win

Expected goals (model): Cambuur 2.10 · Go Ahead Eagles 2.61 · most likely score 2–2 (7%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.80 / away 1.99 goals per game from 93 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Cambuur expected score 62%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

CambuurGo Ahead Eagles
9thTable position10th
15 (11)Points (played)14 (11)
4-3-4W-D-L3-5-3
1.90Goals for / game*2.30
2.20Goals against / game*2.30
DWDWWForm, last 5 (all comps)DDLWW
1485Elo rating (pre-match)1462
1.00 / 1.13Attack / defence index1.17 / 1.17
51.4Possession % (this match)48.6
15Shots (this match)10
7Shots on target (this match)1
7Corners (this match)2
10Fouls (this match)9

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Cambuur 2 wins · 2 draws · Go Ahead Eagles 1 win

  • SC Cambuur 4–1 Go Ahead Eagles
  • Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 SC Cambuur
  • Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 SC Cambuur
  • SC Cambuur 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles
  • Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 SC Cambuur