The Coefficient
EN – Language: English
← Match Center

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: Premier League, Oct 31, 2026

Premier League
HomeBrentford6714OVR
2–0FT
AwayNottingham Forest5712OVR
  • ⚽ 30' Nikola Milenkovic (og)
  • ⚽ 76' Igor Thiago

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, England

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from NBC Sports on YouTube: “Brentford v. Nottingham Forest | PREMIER LEAGUE HIGHLIGHTS | 10/31/2026”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Own goal by Nikola Milenkovic (Brentford). Brentford 1–0 Nottm Forest.
  2. Yellow card for Nikola Milenkovic (Nottm Forest).
  3. Mathias Jensen (Brentford) hits the woodwork!
  4. Substitution for Nottm Forest: Daniel Muñoz comes on for Ola Aina.
  5. Substitution for Nottm Forest: Ryan Yates comes on for Xaver Schlager.
  6. Half-time: Brentford 1–0 Nottm Forest.
  7. Ryan Yates (Nottm Forest) shoots off target. big chance*
  8. Substitution for Brentford: Mikkel Damsgaard comes on for Mathias Jensen.
  9. Substitution for Brentford: Aaron Hickey comes on for Mamadou Sangare.
  10. Yellow card for Daniel Muñoz (Nottm Forest).
  11. Substitution for Nottm Forest: Chris Wood comes on for Liam Delap.
  12. Substitution for Nottm Forest: Arnaud Kalimuendo comes on for Dan Ndoye.
  13. Yellow card for Michael Kayode (Brentford).
  14. Substitution for Brentford: Jaidon Anthony comes on for Dango Ouattara.
  15. GOAL! Igor Thiago scores for Brentford. Brentford 2–0 Nottm Forest. Assist: Jaidon Anthony.
  16. Yellow card for James McAtee (Nottm Forest).
  17. Substitution for Brentford: Callum Wilson comes on for Kevin Schade.
  18. Full-time: Brentford 2–0 Nottm Forest.
Team comparison

Ratings

6714OVRHome

Brentford

ATT
7315
DEF
7114
FRM
5311
ELO
6814
  • 7315Attack479
  • 7114Defence6814
  • 5311Form4810
  • 6814Elo strength6613
  • 6714Overall5712
ATTDEFFRMELO
Brentford Nottm Forest
5712OVRAway

Nottingham Forest

ATT
479
DEF
6814
FRM
4810
ELO
6613

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Brentford 2–0 Nottm Forest. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Brentford win (61%). Goals: 2 scored against 2.4 expected (Brentford 2 vs 1.7, Nottm Forest 0 vs 0.7). Shots: Brentford 7 (1 on target) vs Nottm Forest 15 (1); possession 41.7% – 58.3%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Brentford (6th, 14 pts from 9) host Nottm Forest (19th, 6 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Brentford have scored 14 and conceded 9 in 8 Premier League games (1.8 and 1.1 per game). Nottm Forest have scored 6 and conceded 10 in 8 Premier League games (0.8 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Brentford WDLDL, Nottm Forest WLLLD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Brentford won 2, Nottm Forest won 3 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.7–0.7. Brentford are clear favorites: Brentford 61%, draw 24%, Nottm Forest 16%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Brentford 1576, Nottm Forest 1553) give Brentford an expected score of 62%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Brentford winDrawNottm Forest win

Expected goals (model): Brentford 1.69 · Nottm Forest 0.72 · most likely score 1–0 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.52 / away 1.25 goals per game from 81 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Brentford expected score 62%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

BrentfordNottm Forest
6thTable position19th
14 (9)Points (played)6 (9)
3-5-1W-D-L1-3-5
1.75Goals for / game*0.75
1.12Goals against / game*1.25
WDLDLForm, last 5 (all comps)WLLLD
1576Elo rating (pre-match)1553
1.19 / 0.86Attack / defence index0.67 / 0.93
41.7Possession % (this match)58.3
7Shots (this match)15
1Shots on target (this match)1
3Corners (this match)4
6Fouls (this match)17

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Brentford 2 wins · 0 draws · Nottm Forest 3 wins

  • Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest
  • Nottingham Forest 3–1 Brentford
  • Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brentford
  • Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest
  • Brentford 3–2 Nottingham Forest