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AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: Premier League, Oct 31, 2026

Premier League
HomeAFC Bournemouth7315OVR
2–0FT
AwayLeeds United6814OVR
  • ⚽ 31' Evanilson
  • ⚽ 90'+4' Amine Adli

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, England

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from NBC Sports on YouTube: “Bournemouth v. Leeds United | PREMIER LEAGUE HIGHLIGHTS | 10/31/2026”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  2. Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  3. GOAL! Evanilson scores for Bournemouth. Bournemouth 1–0 Leeds. Assist: Justin Kluivert.
  4. Yellow card for Nico Elvedi (Leeds).
  5. Yellow card for Ryan Christie (Bournemouth).
  6. Half-time: Bournemouth 1–0 Leeds.
  7. Yellow card for Ethan Ampadu (Leeds).
  8. Substitution for Leeds: Sean Longstaff comes on for Gabriel Gudmundsson.
  9. Substitution for Leeds: Anton Stach comes on for Ao Tanaka.
  10. Substitution for Leeds: Lukas Nmecha comes on for Daniel James.
  11. Substitution for Bournemouth: Junior Kroupi comes on for Justin Kluivert.
  12. Substitution for Bournemouth: Lewis Cook comes on for Ryan Christie.
  13. Yellow card for Tyler Adams (Bournemouth).
  14. Substitution for Bournemouth: Álvaro Rodríguez comes on for Evanilson.
  15. Substitution for Leeds: Jean-Mattéo Bahoya comes on for James Justin.
  16. Substitution for Leeds: Brenden Aaronson comes on for Harry Wilson.
  17. Substitution for Bournemouth: Bafodé Diakité comes on for Adam Smith.
  18. Substitution for Bournemouth: Amine Adli comes on for Rayan.
  19. GOAL! Amine Adli scores for Bournemouth. Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds. Assist: Junior Kroupi.
  20. Full-time: Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds.
Team comparison

Ratings

7315OVRHome

AFC Bournemouth

ATT
6814
DEF
6012
FRM
9920
ELO
7415
  • 6814Attack5912
  • 6012Defence8317
  • 9920Form5812
  • 7415Elo strength6714
  • 7315Overall6814
ATTDEFFRMELO
Bournemouth Leeds
6814OVRAway

Leeds United

ATT
5912
DEF
8317
FRM
5812
ELO
6714

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Bournemouth win at only 32%, and its favorite was a Leeds win (39%). Goals: 2 scored against 2.3 expected (Bournemouth 2 vs 1.1, Leeds 0 vs 1.2). Shots: Bournemouth 11 (5 on target) vs Leeds 10 (1); possession 43.9% – 56.1%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Bournemouth (7th, 12 pts from 9) host Leeds (11th, 11 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Bournemouth have scored 12 and conceded 13 in 8 Premier League games (1.5 and 1.6 per game). Leeds have scored 9 and conceded 6 in 8 Premier League games (1.1 and 0.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Bournemouth WWWWW, Leeds WDLDD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Bournemouth won 1, Leeds won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–1.2. This looks evenly matched: Bournemouth 32%, draw 28%, Leeds 39%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Bournemouth 1623, Leeds 1559) give Bournemouth an expected score of 67%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Bournemouth winDrawLeeds win

Expected goals (model): Bournemouth 1.08 · Leeds 1.22 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.52 / away 1.25 goals per game from 81 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Bournemouth expected score 67%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

BournemouthLeeds
7thTable position11th
12 (9)Points (played)11 (9)
3-3-3W-D-L2-5-2
1.50Goals for / game*1.12
1.62Goals against / game*0.75
WWWWWForm, last 5 (all comps)WDLDD
1623Elo rating (pre-match)1559
1.06 / 1.13Attack / defence index0.86 / 0.67
43.9Possession % (this match)56.1
11Shots (this match)10
5Shots on target (this match)1
4Corners (this match)4
12Fouls (this match)15

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Bournemouth 1 win · 2 draws · Leeds 2 wins

  • AFC Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds United
  • Leeds United 2–2 AFC Bournemouth
  • AFC Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds United
  • Leeds United 4–3 AFC Bournemouth
  • Leeds United 1–0 AFC Bournemouth