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Real Betis vs Málaga: La Liga, Oct 31, 2026

La Liga
HomeReal Betis7014OVR
2–1FT
AwayMálaga5110OVR
  • ⚽ 38' Marc Bartra
  • ⚽ 45'+2' Pablo Fornals
  • ⚽ 68' Adrián Niño

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:30 PM CT · Estadio La Cartuja, Sevilla, Spain

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from ESPN FC on YouTube: “Real Betis vs. Malaga | LALIGA Highlights | ESPN FC”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Yellow card for David Larrubia (Málaga).
  2. Yellow card for Rafa Garrido (Málaga).
  3. GOAL! Marc Bartra scores for Betis. Betis 1–0 Málaga. Assist: Isco.
  4. GOAL! Pablo Fornals scores for Betis. Betis 2–0 Málaga.
  5. Half-time: Betis 2–0 Málaga.
  6. Substitution for Málaga: Chupete comes on for David Larrubia.
  7. Substitution for Málaga: Rafa Rodríguez comes on for Ramón Enríquez.
  8. Substitution for Betis: Antony comes on for Rodrigo Riquelme.
  9. Substitution for Betis: Dani Ceballos comes on for Isco.
  10. GOAL! Adrián Niño scores for Málaga. Betis 2–1 Málaga.
  11. Substitution for Betis: Aitor Ruibal comes on for Troy Parrott.
  12. Abde Ezzalzouli (Betis) hits the woodwork!
  13. Substitution for Málaga: Juani comes on for Fernando Calero.
  14. Substitution for Málaga: Jens Cajuste comes on for Carlos Dotor.
  15. Substitution for Betis: Ángel Ortiz comes on for Héctor Bellerín.
  16. Substitution for Betis: Nelson Deossa comes on for Pablo Fornals.
  17. Substitution for Málaga: Eneko Jauregui comes on for Adrián Niño.
  18. Yellow card for Nelson Deossa (Betis).
  19. Yellow card for Aitor Ruibal (Betis).
  20. Full-time: Betis 2–1 Málaga.
Team comparison

Ratings

7014OVRHome

Real Betis

ATT
6714
DEF
6714
FRM
7615
ELO
7515
  • 6714Attack428
  • 6714Defence5712
  • 7615Form5311
  • 7515Elo strength5411
  • 7014Overall5110
ATTDEFFRMELO
Betis Málaga
5110OVRAway

Málaga

ATT
428
DEF
5712
FRM
5311
ELO
5411

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Betis 2–1 Málaga. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Betis win (70%). Goals: 3 scored against 2.9 expected (Betis 2 vs 2.1, Málaga 1 vs 0.7). Shots: Betis 23 (6 on target) vs Málaga 10 (4); possession 58.7% – 41.3%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Betis (4th, 23 pts from 11) host Málaga (20th, 5 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Betis have scored 16 and conceded 14 in 10 La Liga games (1.6 and 1.4 per game). Málaga have scored 7 and conceded 19 in 10 La Liga games (0.7 and 1.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Betis WWLWD, Málaga LDLDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Betis won 4, Málaga won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.1–0.7. Betis are clear favorites: Betis 70%, draw 19%, Málaga 12%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Betis 1634, Málaga 1444) give Betis an expected score of 81%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Betis winDrawMálaga win

Expected goals (model): Betis 2.15 · Málaga 0.74 · most likely score 2–0 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.68 / away 1.30 goals per game from 102 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Betis expected score 81%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

BetisMálaga
4thTable position20th
23 (11)Points (played)5 (11)
7-2-2W-D-L0-5-6
1.60Goals for / game*0.70
1.40Goals against / game*1.90
WWLWDForm, last 5 (all comps)LDLDW
1634Elo rating (pre-match)1444
1.06 / 0.95Attack / defence index0.59 / 1.21
58.7Possession % (this match)41.3
23Shots (this match)10
6Shots on target (this match)4
10Corners (this match)3
10Fouls (this match)15

Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Betis 4 wins · 0 draws · Málaga 1 win

  • Real Betis 2–1 Málaga
  • Málaga 0–2 Real Betis
  • Málaga 1–2 Real Betis
  • Real Betis 1–0 Málaga
  • Real Betis 0–1 Málaga