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Aston Villa vs Fulham: Premier League, Oct 31, 2026

Premier League
HomeAston Villa7014OVR
1–1FT
AwayFulham6213OVR
  • ⚽ 39' Nicolas Jackson
  • ⚽ 64' Zion Suzuki (og)

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:00 PM CT · Villa Park, Birmingham, England

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from NBC Sports on YouTube: “Aston Villa v. Fulham | PREMIER LEAGUE HIGHLIGHTS | 10/31/2026”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Penalty to Aston Villa, but John McGinn doesn't score.
  2. Yellow card for David Affengruber (Fulham).
  3. GOAL! Nicolas Jackson scores for Aston Villa. Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham. Assist: Johan Manzambi.
  4. Yellow card for Calvin Bassey (Fulham).
  5. Half-time: Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham.
  6. Shea Charles (Fulham) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  7. Alex Iwobi (Fulham) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  8. Gonzalo García (Fulham) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  9. Own goal by Zion Suzuki (Fulham). Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham.
  10. Substitution for Aston Villa: Ibrahim Mbaye comes on for Leon Goretzka.
  11. Substitution for Aston Villa: Emiliano Buendía comes on for Alysson.
  12. Substitution for Aston Villa: João Gomes comes on for Johan Manzambi.
  13. Substitution for Fulham: Tom Cairney comes on for Alex Iwobi.
  14. Yellow card for Matty Cash (Aston Villa).
  15. Yellow card for Tom Cairney (Fulham).
  16. Substitution for Fulham: Kenny Tete comes on for Oscar Bobb.
  17. Substitution for Fulham: César Palacios comes on for Josh King.
  18. Substitution for Aston Villa: Ross Barkley comes on for Boubacar Kamara.
  19. Pau Torres (Aston Villa) shoots off target. big chance*
  20. Substitution for Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz comes on for Gonzalo García.
  21. Substitution for Fulham: Hugo Larsson comes on for Timothy Castagne.
  22. Substitution for Aston Villa: Alejandro Garnacho comes on for John McGinn.
  23. Full-time: Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham.
Team comparison

Ratings

7014OVRHome

Aston Villa

ATT
5912
DEF
6213
FRM
8517
ELO
8116
  • 5912Attack5511
  • 6213Defence6814
  • 8517Form6213
  • 8116Elo strength6112
  • 7014Overall6213
ATTDEFFRMELO
Aston Villa Fulham
6213OVRAway

Fulham

ATT
5511
DEF
6814
FRM
6213
ELO
6112

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 28%, and its favorite was a Aston Villa win (41%). Goals: 2 scored against 2.3 expected (Aston Villa 1 vs 1.3, Fulham 1 vs 1.0). Shots: Aston Villa 16 (3 on target) vs Fulham 14 (5); possession 45% – 55%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Aston Villa (9th, 12 pts from 9) host Fulham (15th, 9 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Aston Villa have scored 9 and conceded 12 in 8 Premier League games (1.1 and 1.5 per game). Fulham have scored 8 and conceded 10 in 8 Premier League games (1.0 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Aston Villa WWWWL, Fulham DLWWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Aston Villa won 4, Fulham won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3–1.0. Aston Villa are slight favorites: Aston Villa 41%, draw 28%, Fulham 30%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Aston Villa 1692, Fulham 1513) give Aston Villa an expected score of 80%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Aston Villa winDrawFulham win

Expected goals (model): Aston Villa 1.25 · Fulham 1.03 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.54 / away 1.21 goals per game from 87 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Aston Villa expected score 80%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Aston VillaFulham
9thTable position15th
12 (9)Points (played)9 (9)
3-3-3W-D-L2-3-4
1.12Goals for / game*1.00
1.50Goals against / game*1.25
WWWWLForm, last 5 (all comps)DLWWL
1692Elo rating (pre-match)1513
0.87 / 1.07Attack / defence index0.80 / 0.93
45Possession % (this match)55
16Shots (this match)14
3Shots on target (this match)5
7Corners (this match)7
7Fouls (this match)12

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Aston Villa 4 wins · 0 draws · Fulham 1 win

  • Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 3–1 Fulham
  • Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham
  • Fulham 1–3 Aston Villa
  • Fulham 1–2 Aston Villa