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Villarreal vs Espanyol: La Liga, Oct 30, 2026

La Liga
HomeVillarreal6814OVR
0–1FT
AwayEspanyol5511OVR
  • âšœ 60' Leandro Cabrera

Friday, October 30, 2026 · 3:00 PM CT · Estadio de la Ceråmica, Villarreal, Spain

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from LALIGA on YouTube: “VILLARREAL CF 0 - 1 RCD ESPANYOL | HIGHLIGHTS LALIGA EA SPORTS”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal) shoots off target. big chance*
  2. Substitution for Villarreal: Nicolas Pépé comes on for Gerard Moreno.
  3. Yellow card for Rafael Bauza (Espanyol).
  4. Yellow card for Roger Hinojo (Espanyol).
  5. Half-time: Villarreal 0–0 Espanyol.
  6. Roberto FernĂĄndez (Espanyol) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  7. Yellow card for Sergi Cardona (Villarreal).
  8. Yellow card for Santi Comesaña (Villarreal).
  9. Substitution for Villarreal: Ayoze PĂ©rez comes on for Alberto Moleiro.
  10. Substitution for Villarreal: Carlos Romero comes on for Sergi Cardona.
  11. GOAL! Leandro Cabrera scores for Espanyol. Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol. Assist: Bryan Zaragoza.
  12. Substitution for Espanyol: José Ángel López comes on for Roger Hinojo.
  13. Substitution for Espanyol: Pol Lozano comes on for Rafael Bauza.
  14. Yellow card for Bryan Zaragoza (Espanyol).
  15. Substitution for Espanyol: Javier Puado comes on for Bryan Zaragoza.
  16. Substitution for Espanyol: Jan Peries Duran comes on for Alejandro Santiago Vargas.
  17. Substitution for Villarreal: Alex Freeman comes on for Pau Navarro.
  18. Substitution for Villarreal: Tani Oluwaseyi comes on for Tajon Buchanan.
  19. Substitution for Espanyol: Gabriel Moscardo comes on for Javi Hernandez.
  20. Yellow card for Carlos MaciĂ  (Villarreal).
  21. Full-time: Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol.
Team comparison

Ratings

6814OVRHome

Villarreal

ATT
6513
DEF
6714
FRM
7615
ELO
6814
  • 6513Attack5812
  • 6714Defence6714
  • 7615Form357
  • 6814Elo strength5311
  • 6814Overall5511
ATTDEFFRMELO
Villarreal Espanyol
5511OVRAway

Espanyol

ATT
5812
DEF
6714
FRM
357
ELO
5311

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated an Espanyol win at only 25%, and its favorite was a Villarreal win (50%). Goals: 1 scored against 2.7 expected (Villarreal 0 vs 1.6, Espanyol 1 vs 1.0). Shots: Villarreal 14 (4 on target) vs Espanyol 5 (3); possession 62.8% – 37.2%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Villarreal (8th, 12 pts from 11) host Espanyol (13th, 11 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Villarreal have scored 15 and conceded 14 in 10 La Liga games (1.5 and 1.4 per game). Espanyol have scored 12 and conceded 14 in 10 La Liga games (1.2 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Villarreal WDLWW, Espanyol LDLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Villarreal won 5, Espanyol won 0 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–1.0. Villarreal are clear favorites: Villarreal 50%, draw 25%, Espanyol 25%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Villarreal 1574, Espanyol 1441) give Villarreal an expected score of 75%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Villarreal winDrawEspanyol win

Expected goals (model): Villarreal 1.60 · Espanyol 1.05 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.31 goals per game from 99 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Villarreal expected score 75%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

VillarrealEspanyol
8thTable position13th
12 (11)Points (played)11 (11)
3-3-5W-D-L3-2-6
1.50Goals for / game*1.20
1.40Goals against / game*1.40
WDLWWForm, last 5 (all comps)LDLLL
1574Elo rating (pre-match)1441
1.00 / 0.95Attack / defence index0.84 / 0.95
62.8Possession % (this match)37.2
14Shots (this match)5
4Shots on target (this match)3
7Corners (this match)3
15Fouls (this match)13

Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Villarreal 5 wins · 0 draws · Espanyol 0 wins

  • Villarreal 4–1 Espanyol
  • Espanyol 0–2 Villarreal
  • Villarreal 1–0 Espanyol
  • Espanyol 1–2 Villarreal
  • Villarreal 4–2 Espanyol