Le Havre AC
- ATT
- 5311
- DEF
- 5712
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 5010
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 1:00 PM CT · Stade Océane, Le Havre, France
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from beIN SPORTS USA on YouTube: “Le Havre vs PSG | EXTENDED HIGHLIGHTS Ligue 1 | 10/30/2026 | beIN SPORTS USA”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Le Havre AC 1–5 PSG. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a PSG win (60%). Goals: 6 scored against 3.0 expected (Le Havre AC 1 vs 1.0, PSG 5 vs 2.0). Shots: Le Havre AC 14 (5 on target) vs PSG 15 (10); possession 29.3% – 70.7%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Le Havre AC (18th, 2 pts from 9) host PSG (1st, 20 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Le Havre AC have scored 8 and conceded 15 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.0 and 1.9 per game). PSG have scored 16 and conceded 9 in 8 Ligue 1 games (2.0 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Le Havre AC LWLLL, PSG WWWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Le Havre AC won 0, PSG won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.0–2.0. PSG are clear favorites: Le Havre AC 19%, draw 21%, PSG 60%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Le Havre AC 1406, PSG 1811) give Le Havre AC an expected score of 12%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Le Havre AC 1.02 · PSG 2.01 · most likely score 1–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.35 goals per game from 72 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Le Havre AC expected score 12%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Le Havre AC | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Table position | 1st |
| 2 (9) | Points (played) | 20 (9) |
| 0-2-7 | W-D-L | 6-2-1 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 2.00 |
| 1.88 | Goals against / game* | 1.12 |
| LWLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWW |
| 1406 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1811 |
| 0.76 / 1.19 | Attack / defence index | 1.25 / 0.82 |
| 29.3 | Possession % (this match) | 70.7 |
| 14 | Shots (this match) | 15 |
| 5 | Shots on target (this match) | 10 |
| 5 | Corners (this match) | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls (this match) | 11 |
Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Le Havre AC 0 wins · 1 draw · PSG 4 wins