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Frosinone vs Lecce: Serie A, Oct 29, 2026

Serie A
HomeFrosinone7014OVR
5–1FT
AwayLecce5712OVR
  • ⚽ 25' Matteo Cichella
  • ⚽ 45'+1' Giacomo Calo (pen)
  • ⚽ 59' Antonio Raimondo
  • ⚽ 72' Daniel Birligea
  • ⚽ 82' Joel Monteiro
  • ⚽ 90'+4' Daniel Birligea

Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 12:30 PM CT · Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Frosinone Continue Winning Streak On Home Soil! | FROSINONE-LECCE | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Farès Ghedjemis (Frosinone) shoots off target. big chance*
  2. Tiago Gabriel (Lecce) shoots off target. big chance*
  3. Omri Gandelman (Lecce) shoots off target. big chance*
  4. GOAL! Matteo Cichella scores for Frosinone. Frosinone 1–0 Lecce. Assist: Farès Ghedjemis.
  5. Gabriele Calvani (Frosinone) shoots off target. big chance*
  6. Yellow card for Tiago Gabriel (Lecce).
  7. GOAL! Giacomo Calo scores from the penalty spot for Frosinone. Frosinone 2–0 Lecce.
  8. Half-time: Frosinone 2–0 Lecce.
  9. Substitution for Lecce: Amar Ahmed comes on for Corrie Ndaba.
  10. Yellow card for Oumar Ngom (Lecce).
  11. Anthony Oyono (Frosinone) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  12. Substitution for Lecce: Nikola Stulic comes on for Francisco Esteban Sánchez.
  13. Substitution for Lecce: Olaf Gorter comes on for Youssef Maleh.
  14. Substitution for Lecce: Konan N’Dri comes on for Omri Gandelman.
  15. GOAL! Antonio Raimondo scores for Frosinone. Frosinone 3–0 Lecce. Assist: Giorgi Kvernadze.
  16. Substitution for Frosinone: Daniel Birligea comes on for Antonio Raimondo.
  17. Substitution for Frosinone: Seydou Fini comes on for Farès Ghedjemis.
  18. GOAL! Daniel Birligea scores for Frosinone. Frosinone 4–0 Lecce. Assist: Romano Schmid.
  19. Substitution for Frosinone: Anouar El Azzouzi comes on for Giacomo Calo.
  20. Substitution for Frosinone: Luis Hasa comes on for Romano Schmid.
  21. Yellow card for Jamil Siebert (Lecce).
  22. Substitution for Frosinone: Omar Fayed comes on for Gabriele Calvani.
  23. GOAL! Joel Monteiro scores for Lecce. Frosinone 4–1 Lecce. Assist: Olaf Gorter.
  24. Substitution for Lecce: Mohamed Kaba comes on for Joel Monteiro.
  25. GOAL! Daniel Birligea scores for Frosinone. Frosinone 5–1 Lecce. Assist: Giorgi Kvernadze.
  26. Full-time: Frosinone 5–1 Lecce.
Team comparison

Ratings

7014OVRHome

Frosinone

ATT
7515
DEF
6413
FRM
7615
ELO
6513
  • 7515Attack5511
  • 6413Defence6112
  • 7615Form5812
  • 6513Elo strength5211
  • 7014Overall5712
ATTDEFFRMELO
Frosinone Lecce
5712OVRAway

Lecce

ATT
5511
DEF
6112
FRM
5812
ELO
5211

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Frosinone 5–1 Lecce. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Frosinone win (58%). Goals: 6 scored against 3.4 expected (Frosinone 5 vs 2.2, Lecce 1 vs 1.3). Shots: Frosinone 26 (9 on target) vs Lecce 15 (6); possession 59.6% – 40.4%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Frosinone (6th, 17 pts from 9) host Lecce (14th, 9 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Frosinone have scored 17 and conceded 13 in 8 Serie A games (2.1 and 1.6 per game). Lecce have scored 9 and conceded 14 in 8 Serie A games (1.1 and 1.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Frosinone WWLWD, Lecce WLLWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Frosinone won 0, Lecce won 3 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.2–1.3. Frosinone are clear favorites: Frosinone 58%, draw 20%, Lecce 22%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Frosinone 1541, Lecce 1430) give Frosinone an expected score of 73%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Frosinone winDrawLecce win

Expected goals (model): Frosinone 2.16 · Lecce 1.27 · most likely score 2–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.57 / away 1.55 goals per game from 88 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Frosinone expected score 73%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

FrosinoneLecce
6thTable position14th
17 (9)Points (played)9 (9)
5-2-2W-D-L3-0-6
2.12Goals for / game*1.12
1.62Goals against / game*1.75
WWLWDForm, last 5 (all comps)WLLWL
1541Elo rating (pre-match)1430
1.27 / 1.03Attack / defence index0.80 / 1.09
59.6Possession % (this match)40.4
26Shots (this match)15
9Shots on target (this match)6
10Corners (this match)3
10Fouls (this match)17

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Frosinone 0 wins · 2 draws · Lecce 3 wins

  • Frosinone 1–1 Lecce
  • Lecce 2–1 Frosinone
  • Lecce 1–0 Frosinone
  • Frosinone 0–0 Lecce
  • Frosinone 0–3 Lecce