Venezia
- ATT
- 449
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 479
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 12:30 PM CT · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venezia, Italy
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Venezia Fall with Two Own Goals | VENEZIA-INTER | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Venezia 0–2 Inter Milan. That matched the model's most likely outcome, an Inter Milan win (81%). Goals: 2 scored against 3.9 expected (Venezia 0 vs 0.9, Inter Milan 2 vs 3.1). Shots: Venezia 12 (4 on target) vs Inter Milan 16 (2); possession 34.8% – 65.2%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Venezia (20th, 3 pts from 9) host Inter Milan (2nd, 25 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Venezia have scored 6 and conceded 17 in 8 Serie A games (0.8 and 2.1 per game). Inter Milan have scored 23 and conceded 10 in 8 Serie A games (2.9 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Venezia LLLWL, Inter Milan WLWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Venezia won 0, Inter Milan won 5 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–3.1. Inter Milan are clear favorites: Venezia 7%, draw 12%, Inter Milan 81%. The single most likely score is 0–3, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Venezia 1385, Inter Milan 1732) give Venezia an expected score of 16%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Venezia 0.85 · Inter Milan 3.09 · most likely score 0–3 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.60 / away 1.52 goals per game from 83 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Venezia expected score 16%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Venezia | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 20th | Table position | 2nd |
| 3 (9) | Points (played) | 25 (10) |
| 1-0-8 | W-D-L | 8-1-1 |
| 0.75 | Goals for / game* | 2.88 |
| 2.12 | Goals against / game* | 1.25 |
| LLLWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLWWW |
| 1385 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1732 |
| 0.62 / 1.26 | Attack / defence index | 1.61 / 0.86 |
| 34.8 | Possession % (this match) | 65.2 |
| 12 | Shots (this match) | 16 |
| 4 | Shots on target (this match) | 2 |
| 3 | Corners (this match) | 6 |
| 5 | Fouls (this match) | 9 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Venezia 0 wins · 0 draws · Inter Milan 5 wins