The Coefficient
EN – Language: English
← Match Center

Parma vs Udinese: Serie A, Oct 28, 2026

Serie A
HomeParma5010OVR
0–0FT
AwayUdinese5010OVR

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 12:30 PM CT · Ennio Tardini, Parma, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Okoye Rescues a Point Away | PARMA-UDINESE | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. James Abankwah (Udinese) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  2. Yellow card for Jesper Karlström (Udinese).
  3. Half-time: Parma 0–0 Udinese.
  4. Substitution for Parma: Matija Frigan comes on for José Romero.
  5. Substitution for Parma: Emanuele Valeri comes on for Franco Carboni.
  6. Substitution for Udinese: MĂ«rgim Vojvoda comes on for NicolĂČ Bertola.
  7. Penalty to Parma, but Adriån Bernabé doesn't score.
  8. Substitution for Udinese: Enzo Ebosse comes on for Hassane Kamara.
  9. Substitution for Udinese: Jakub Piotrowski comes on for Jesper Karlström.
  10. Substitution for Parma: Giovanni Fabbian comes on for Adriån Bernabé.
  11. Substitution for Parma: Simone Lontani comes on for El Bilal Toure.
  12. Yellow card for NicolĂČ Zaniolo (Udinese).
  13. Yellow card for Simone Lontani (Parma).
  14. Substitution for Udinese: Lennon Miller comes on for Giorgi Chakvetadze.
  15. Substitution for Udinese: Unai GĂłmez comes on for NicolĂČ Zaniolo.
  16. Substitution for Parma: Pontus Almqvist comes on for Sascha Britschgi.
  17. Unai GĂłmez (Udinese) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  18. Full-time: Parma 0–0 Udinese.
Team comparison

Ratings

5010OVRHome

Parma

ATT
408
DEF
5912
FRM
4810
ELO
5110
  • 408Attack5511
  • 5912Defence5311
  • 4810Form357
  • 5110Elo strength5411
  • 5010Overall5010
ATTDEFFRMELO
Parma Udinese
5010OVRAway

Udinese

ATT
5511
DEF
5311
FRM
357
ELO
5411

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Parma 0–0 Udinese. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 26%, and its favorite was an Udinese win (41%). Goals: 0 scored against 2.6 expected (Parma 0 vs 1.2, Udinese 0 vs 1.4). Shots: Parma 8 (2 on target) vs Udinese 20 (5); possession 41.8% – 58.2%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Parma (18th, 5 pts from 9) host Udinese (19th, 5 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Parma have scored 5 and conceded 15 in 8 Serie A games (0.6 and 1.9 per game). Udinese have scored 9 and conceded 18 in 8 Serie A games (1.1 and 2.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Parma WDLLL, Udinese LDLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Parma won 1, Udinese won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.4. Udinese are slight favorites: Parma 32%, draw 26%, Udinese 41%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Parma 1416, Udinese 1442) give Parma an expected score of 55%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Parma winDrawUdinese win

Expected goals (model): Parma 1.19 · Udinese 1.39 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.60 / away 1.52 goals per game from 83 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Parma expected score 55%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

ParmaUdinese
18thTable position19th
5 (9)Points (played)5 (10)
1-2-6W-D-L1-2-7
0.62Goals for / game*1.12
1.88Goals against / game*2.25
WDLLLForm, last 5 (all comps)LDLLL
1416Elo rating (pre-match)1442
0.56 / 1.15Attack / defence index0.80 / 1.32
41.8Possession % (this match)58.2
8Shots (this match)20
2Shots on target (this match)5
3Corners (this match)6
12Fouls (this match)14

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Parma 1 win · 1 draw · Udinese 3 wins

  • Udinese 0–1 Parma
  • Parma 0–2 Udinese
  • Udinese 1–0 Parma
  • Parma 2–3 Udinese
  • Parma 2–2 Udinese