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Monza vs Napoli: Serie A, Oct 28, 2026

Serie A
HomeMonza5611OVR
1–4FT
AwayNapoli6814OVR
  • ⚽ 10' Rasmus Højlund
  • ⚽ 43' Gustavo Varela
  • ⚽ 48' Matteo Politano
  • ⚽ 62' Rafa Marín
  • ⚽ 67' Kevin De Bruyne

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 2:45 PM CT · U-Power Stadium, Monza, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “MONZA-NAPOLI 1-4 | EXTENDED HIGHLIGHTS | SERIE A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Yellow card for Saba Goglichidze (Monza).
  2. GOAL! Rasmus Højlund scores for Napoli. Monza 0–1 Napoli. Assist: Giovanni Di Lorenzo.
  3. Substitution for Napoli: Billy Gilmour comes on for Stanislav Lobotka.
  4. Mathías Olivera (Napoli) shoots off target. big chance*
  5. GOAL! Gustavo Varela scores for Monza. Monza 1–1 Napoli. Assist: Jay Robinson.
  6. Substitution for Monza: Andrea Carboni comes on for Saba Goglichidze.
  7. Substitution for Napoli: Luca Marianucci comes on for Amir Rrahmani.
  8. Half-time: Monza 1–1 Napoli.
  9. GOAL! Matteo Politano scores for Napoli. Monza 1–2 Napoli.
  10. Yellow card for Manga Foe Ondoa (Monza).
  11. Substitution for Monza: Andrea Colpani comes on for Cyril Ngonge.
  12. Substitution for Monza: Ebenezer Akinsanmiro comes on for Manga Foe Ondoa.
  13. GOAL! Rafa Marín scores for Napoli. Monza 1–3 Napoli. Assist: Matteo Politano.
  14. Substitution for Napoli: Kevin De Bruyne comes on for Frank Anguissa.
  15. Substitution for Napoli: Antonio Vergara comes on for Matteo Politano.
  16. GOAL! Kevin De Bruyne scores for Napoli. Monza 1–4 Napoli. Assist: Noa Lang.
  17. Substitution for Monza: Exequiel Zeballos comes on for Jay Robinson.
  18. Substitution for Monza: Valentin Antov comes on for Lorenzo Lucchesi.
  19. Substitution for Napoli: Lorenzo Lucca comes on for Rasmus Højlund.
  20. Yellow card for Leonardo Colombo (Monza).
  21. Full-time: Monza 1–4 Napoli.
Team comparison

Ratings

5611OVRHome

Monza

ATT
7114
DEF
5311
FRM
4810
ELO
459
  • 7114Attack6613
  • 5311Defence7215
  • 4810Form6213
  • 459Elo strength7114
  • 5611Overall6814
ATTDEFFRMELO
Monza Napoli
6814OVRAway

Napoli

ATT
6613
DEF
7215
FRM
6213
ELO
7114

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Monza 1–4 Napoli. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Napoli win (51%). Goals: 5 scored against 3.7 expected (Monza 1 vs 1.6, Napoli 4 vs 2.1). Shots: Monza 12 (5 on target) vs Napoli 16 (7); possession 34.8% – 65.2%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Monza (16th, 7 pts from 10) host Napoli (7th, 14 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Monza have scored 15 and conceded 18 in 8 Serie A games (1.9 and 2.2 per game). Napoli have scored 13 and conceded 10 in 8 Serie A games (1.6 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Monza LDLWL, Napoli WLLWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Monza won 1, Napoli won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–2.1. Napoli are clear favorites: Monza 28%, draw 21%, Napoli 51%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Monza 1365, Napoli 1600) give Monza an expected score of 27%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Monza winDrawNapoli win

Expected goals (model): Monza 1.55 · Napoli 2.11 · most likely score 1–2 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.57 / away 1.53 goals per game from 86 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Monza expected score 27%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

MonzaNapoli
16thTable position7th
7 (10)Points (played)14 (9)
2-1-7W-D-L4-2-3
1.88Goals for / game*1.62
2.25Goals against / game*1.25
LDLWLForm, last 5 (all comps)WLLWD
1365Elo rating (pre-match)1600
1.15 / 1.33Attack / defence index1.03 / 0.86
34.8Possession % (this match)65.2
12Shots (this match)16
5Shots on target (this match)7
2Corners (this match)2
14Fouls (this match)6

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Monza 1 win · 1 draw · Napoli 3 wins

  • Monza 0–1 Napoli
  • Napoli 2–0 Monza
  • Monza 2–4 Napoli
  • Napoli 0–0 Monza
  • Monza 2–0 Napoli