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Genoa vs Juventus: Serie A, Oct 28, 2026

Serie A
HomeGenoa5511OVR
2–0FT
AwayJuventus7014OVR
  • ⚽ 12' Kingsley Ehizibue
  • ⚽ 28' Tommaso Baldanzi

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 2:45 PM CT · Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genova, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “First Half Goals Bring Unexpected Outcome | GENOA-JUVENTUS | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Kingsley Ehizibue scores for Genoa. Genoa 1–0 Juventus. Assist: Tommaso Baldanzi.
  2. GOAL! Tommaso Baldanzi scores for Genoa. Genoa 2–0 Juventus.
  3. Substitution for Genoa: Mario Mitaj comes on for Mikael Ellertsson.
  4. Substitution for Juventus: Edon Zhegrova comes on for Kerim Alajbegovic.
  5. Substitution for Juventus: Nick Woltemade comes on for Federico Gatti.
  6. Half-time: Genoa 2–0 Juventus.
  7. Substitution for Juventus: Jérémie Boga comes on for Pape Matar Sarr.
  8. Substitution for Juventus: Juan Cabal comes on for Andrea Cambiaso.
  9. Alessandro Marcandalli (Genoa) shoots off target. big chance*
  10. Bremer (Juventus) shoots off target. big chance*
  11. Nick Woltemade (Juventus) shoots off target. big chance*
  12. Substitution for Genoa: Junior Messias comes on for Tommaso Baldanzi.
  13. Substitution for Genoa: Ethan Meichtry comes on for Kingsley Ehizibue.
  14. Yellow card for Edon Zhegrova (Juventus).
  15. Substitution for Juventus: Teun Koopmeiners comes on for Douglas Luiz.
  16. Substitution for Genoa: Lorenzo Colombo comes on for Milutin Osmajic.
  17. Substitution for Genoa: Samuel Wiafe comes on for Alexsandro Amorim.
  18. Nick Woltemade (Juventus) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  19. Full-time: Genoa 2–0 Juventus.
Team comparison

Ratings

5511OVRHome

Genoa

ATT
459
DEF
6413
FRM
5812
ELO
5411
  • 459Attack6112
  • 6413Defence7816
  • 5812Form6714
  • 5411Elo strength7515
  • 5511Overall7014
ATTDEFFRMELO
Genoa Juventus
7014OVRAway

Juventus

ATT
6112
DEF
7816
FRM
6714
ELO
7515

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Genoa 2–0 Juventus. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Genoa win at only 19%, and its favorite was a Juventus win (55%). Goals: 2 scored against 2.2 expected (Genoa 2 vs 0.7, Juventus 0 vs 1.5). Shots: Genoa 14 (2 on target) vs Juventus 17 (4); possession 36.6% – 63.4%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Genoa (13th, 10 pts from 9) host Juventus (8th, 14 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Genoa have scored 6 and conceded 13 in 8 Serie A games (0.8 and 1.6 per game). Juventus have scored 11 and conceded 8 in 8 Serie A games (1.4 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Genoa LLWLW, Juventus DWLDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Genoa won 0, Juventus won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 0.7–1.5. Juventus are clear favorites: Genoa 19%, draw 27%, Juventus 55%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 16% chance. Elo ratings (Genoa 1443, Juventus 1639) give Genoa an expected score of 31%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Genoa winDrawJuventus win

Expected goals (model): Genoa 0.73 · Juventus 1.46 · most likely score 0–1 (16%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.57 / away 1.53 goals per game from 86 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Genoa expected score 31%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

GenoaJuventus
13thTable position8th
10 (9)Points (played)14 (9)
3-1-5W-D-L4-2-3
0.75Goals for / game*1.38
1.62Goals against / game*1.00
LLWLWForm, last 5 (all comps)DWLDW
1443Elo rating (pre-match)1639
0.62 / 1.03Attack / defence index0.92 / 0.74
36.6Possession % (this match)63.4
14Shots (this match)17
2Shots on target (this match)4
6Corners (this match)9
5Fouls (this match)8

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Genoa 0 wins · 1 draw · Juventus 4 wins

  • Juventus 2–0 Genoa
  • Genoa 0–1 Juventus
  • Juventus 1–0 Genoa
  • Genoa 0–3 Juventus
  • Juventus 0–0 Genoa